Fredonia Mining Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FREDF Stock | USD 0.31 0.14 82.35% |
Fredonia Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fredonia Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Fredonia Mining's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fredonia Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fredonia Mining from the perspective of Fredonia Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fredonia Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49. Fredonia Mining after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fredonia |
Fredonia Mining Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fredonia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fredonia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fredonia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fredonia Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fredonia Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fredonia Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fredonia Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fredonia Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fredonia Mining | Fredonia Mining Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fredonia Mining Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fredonia Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fredonia Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 10.59, respectively. We have considered Fredonia Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fredonia Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fredonia Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.6544 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.008 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.041 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.4878 |
Predictive Modules for Fredonia Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fredonia Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fredonia Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fredonia Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fredonia Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fredonia Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Fredonia Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fredonia Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fredonia Mining's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fredonia Mining's historical news coverage. Fredonia Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 10.21, respectively. We have considered Fredonia Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fredonia Mining is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fredonia Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fredonia Mining Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fredonia Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fredonia Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fredonia Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.27 | 10.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Fredonia Mining Hype Timeline
Fredonia Mining is currently traded for 0.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fredonia is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fredonia Mining is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.31. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Fredonia Mining had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fredonia Mining to cross-verify your projections.Fredonia Mining Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fredonia Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fredonia Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Fredonia Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fredonia Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BWCGF | Blackwolf Copper And | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AUSVF | Gold79 Mines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RSMXF | Regency Silver Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.33 | 23.08 | (7.14) | 23.81 | |
| GDSKF | Nevada Zinc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SEKZF | Secova Metals Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CTCGF | C2C Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DDIAF | Margaret Lake Diamonds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LNDLF | Landore Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MLRKF | Millrock Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KPZIF | Ophir Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fredonia Mining
For every potential investor in Fredonia, whether a beginner or expert, Fredonia Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fredonia Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fredonia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fredonia Mining's price trends.Fredonia Mining Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fredonia Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fredonia Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fredonia Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fredonia Mining Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fredonia Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fredonia Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fredonia Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fredonia Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.82 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.07 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.14 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 100.0 |
Fredonia Mining Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fredonia Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fredonia Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fredonia pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.21 | |||
| Variance | 104.34 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fredonia Mining
The number of cover stories for Fredonia Mining depends on current market conditions and Fredonia Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fredonia Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fredonia Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Fredonia Pink Sheet
Fredonia Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fredonia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fredonia with respect to the benefits of owning Fredonia Mining security.