Frp Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| FRPH Stock | USD 23.61 0.25 1.05% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Frp Holdings Ord on the next trading day is expected to be 23.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.91. Frp Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Frp Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Frp Holdings' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Wall Street Target Price 45 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
Using Frp Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Frp Holdings Ord from the perspective of Frp Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Frp Holdings Ord on the next trading day is expected to be 23.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.91. Frp Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 23.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Frp Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Frp Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Frp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Frp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Frp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Frp Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Frp Holdings Ord on the next trading day is expected to be 23.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Frp Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Frp Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Frp Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Frp Holdings | Frp Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Frp Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Frp Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Frp Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.66 and 25.04, respectively. We have considered Frp Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Frp Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Frp Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6091 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3755 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.9062 |
Predictive Modules for Frp Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frp Holdings Ord. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Frp Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Frp Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Frp Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Frp Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Frp Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Frp Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Frp Holdings' historical news coverage. Frp Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.94 and 25.32, respectively. We have considered Frp Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Frp Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Frp Holdings Ord is based on 3 months time horizon.
Frp Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Frp Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Frp Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Frp Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.69 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.61 | 23.63 | 0.08 |
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Frp Holdings Hype Timeline
Frp Holdings Ord is currently traded for 23.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Frp is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.63 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Frp Holdings is about 1625.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.62. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 41.77 M. Net Income was 6.46 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.73 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Frp Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Frp Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Frp Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Frp Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Frp Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Frp Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TCI | Transcontinental Realty Investors | 1.24 | 10 per month | 2.39 | 0.07 | 6.03 | (4.17) | 16.63 | |
| RMR | RMR Group | (0.01) | 10 per month | 1.25 | 0.04 | 2.67 | (2.17) | 9.83 | |
| FPH | Five Point Holdings | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.56 | (2.83) | 6.59 | |
| FPI | Farmland Partners | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.09 | 0.03 | 2.03 | (1.87) | 5.49 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | (0.21) | 7 per month | 1.01 | (0.02) | 2.17 | (1.72) | 6.81 | |
| CMTG | Claros Mortgage Trust | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.01 | (5.50) | 17.41 | |
| PSTL | Postal Realty Trust | 0.01 | 15 per month | 0.63 | 0.16 | 2.27 | (1.22) | 5.03 | |
| NLOP | Net Lease Office | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.62 | (1.87) | 7.34 | |
| NREF | Nexpoint Real Estate | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.35 | 0.07 | 2.44 | (2.47) | 8.26 | |
| RC | Ready Capital Corp | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.19 | (4.92) | 14.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Frp Holdings
For every potential investor in Frp, whether a beginner or expert, Frp Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Frp Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Frp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Frp Holdings' price trends.Frp Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Frp Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Frp Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Frp Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Frp Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Frp Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Frp Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Frp Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Frp Holdings Ord entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Frp Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Frp Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Frp Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting frp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Frp Holdings
The number of cover stories for Frp Holdings depends on current market conditions and Frp Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Frp Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Frp Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Frp Holdings Short Properties
Frp Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Frp Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Frp Holdings Ord often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Frp Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frp Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 148.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Frp Holdings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Frp Holdings. If investors know Frp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Frp Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.57) | Earnings Share 0.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Frp Holdings Ord is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Frp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Frp Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Frp Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Frp Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Frp Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Frp Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Frp Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Frp Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.