GCL Poly Pink Sheet Forward View

GCPEF Stock  USD 0.15  0.01  7.14%   
GCL Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GCL Poly's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of GCL Poly's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GCL Poly, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GCL Poly's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GCL Poly and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GCL Poly's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GCL Poly Energy Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using GCL Poly hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GCL Poly Energy Holdings from the perspective of GCL Poly response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GCL Poly Energy Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74.

GCL Poly after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GCL Poly to cross-verify your projections.

GCL Poly Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GCL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GCL using various technical indicators. When you analyze GCL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for GCL Poly is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of GCL Poly Energy Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

GCL Poly Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of GCL Poly Energy Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GCL Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GCL Poly's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GCL Poly Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest GCL Poly  GCL Poly Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

GCL Poly Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GCL Poly's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GCL Poly's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 10.80, respectively. We have considered GCL Poly's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.15
0.16
Expected Value
10.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GCL Poly pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GCL Poly pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.7047
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0122
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0865
SAESum of the absolute errors0.7426
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of GCL Poly Energy Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict GCL Poly. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for GCL Poly

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GCL Poly Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GCL Poly's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1510.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1210.76
Details

GCL Poly After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GCL Poly at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GCL Poly or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of GCL Poly, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GCL Poly Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GCL Poly's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GCL Poly's historical news coverage. GCL Poly's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 10.79, respectively. We have considered GCL Poly's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.15
0.15
After-hype Price
10.79
Upside
GCL Poly is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GCL Poly Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

GCL Poly Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GCL Poly is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GCL Poly backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GCL Poly, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34 
10.64
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.15
0.15
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

GCL Poly Hype Timeline

GCL Poly Energy is currently traded for 0.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GCL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on GCL Poly is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.15. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GCL Poly Energy last dividend was issued on the 22nd of December 2015. The entity had 118:117 split on the 29th of December 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GCL Poly to cross-verify your projections.

GCL Poly Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GCL Poly's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GCL Poly's future price movements. Getting to know how GCL Poly's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GCL Poly may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
XNYIFXinyi Solar Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0  5.00 (9.30) 41.12 
XISHYXinyi Solar Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 (0.96) 15.75 
SPTJFSinopec Shanghai Petrochemical 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OAOFYTatneft ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ADOOYAdaro Energy Tbk 0.00 0 per month 3.13  0.06  6.88 (5.91) 21.34 
WHITFWhitehaven Coal Limited 0.00 0 per month 1.83  0.22  4.63 (2.95) 13.35 
CGNMFCGN Mining 0.00 0 per month 2.98  0.11  10.64 (5.71) 15.40 
SMTGFSMA Solar Technology 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.19  9.68 (0.05) 25.21 
RBSFYRubis SCA ADR 0.00 0 per month 3.08  0.05  7.71 (6.37) 19.06 
SMTGYSMA Solar Technology 0.00 0 per month 2.42  0.15  7.71 (5.24) 22.43 

Other Forecasting Options for GCL Poly

For every potential investor in GCL, whether a beginner or expert, GCL Poly's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GCL Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GCL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GCL Poly's price trends.

GCL Poly Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GCL Poly pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GCL Poly could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GCL Poly by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GCL Poly Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GCL Poly pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GCL Poly shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GCL Poly pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify GCL Poly Energy Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GCL Poly Risk Indicators

The analysis of GCL Poly's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GCL Poly's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gcl pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for GCL Poly

The number of cover stories for GCL Poly depends on current market conditions and GCL Poly's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GCL Poly is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GCL Poly's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in GCL Pink Sheet

GCL Poly financial ratios help investors to determine whether GCL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GCL with respect to the benefits of owning GCL Poly security.