Genco Stock Forward View
| GNCC Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Genco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Genco stock prices and determine the direction of Genco's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Genco's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Genco's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Genco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genco from the perspective of Genco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genco on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Genco after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genco to cross-verify your projections. Genco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Genco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Genco Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genco on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Genco Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Genco | Genco Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Genco Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Genco's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genco's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Genco's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 30.385 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Genco
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genco. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Genco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Genco After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Genco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Genco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Genco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genco's historical news coverage. Genco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Genco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Genco is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genco is based on 3 months time horizon.
Genco Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Genco Hype Timeline
Genco is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Genco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Genco is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Genco had 1:15 split on the 1st of December 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genco to cross-verify your projections.Genco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Genco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genco's future price movements. Getting to know how Genco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JKSM | Jacksam | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 166.67 | |
| HYHY | Hydrogen Hybrid Technologies | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ADFS | American Defense Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DCFCQ | Tritium DCFC Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CDIIQ | CD International Enterprises | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HWSY | Hawk Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NWMH | National Waste Management | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AFRMF | Alphaform AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STWC | STWC Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | |
| MCNO | Mucinno Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Genco
For every potential investor in Genco, whether a beginner or expert, Genco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genco's price trends.Genco Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genco stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Genco Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genco entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Genco
The number of cover stories for Genco depends on current market conditions and Genco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genco to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Genco Stock refer to our How to Trade Genco Stock guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Will Environmental & Facilities Services sector continue expanding? Could Genco diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genco. Market participants price Genco higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Genco data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Genco requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Genco's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Genco's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Genco's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Genco's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.