VanEck Israel Etf Forward View
| ISRA Etf | USD 63.38 0.73 1.14% |
VanEck Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast VanEck Israel stock prices and determine the direction of VanEck Israel ETF's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VanEck Israel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of VanEck Israel's etf price is about 62. This usually indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling VanEck, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VanEck Israel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck Israel ETF from the perspective of VanEck Israel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VanEck Israel using VanEck Israel's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VanEck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VanEck Israel's stock price.
VanEck Israel Implied Volatility | 0.29 |
VanEck Israel's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VanEck Israel ETF stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VanEck Israel's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VanEck Israel stock will not fluctuate a lot when VanEck Israel's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Israel ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 64.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.89. VanEck Israel after-hype prediction price | USD 63.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Israel to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VanEck contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VanEck Israel ETF will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0181% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With VanEck Israel trading at USD 63.38, that is roughly USD 0.0115 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VanEck Israel's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VanEck Israel ETF options at the current volatility level of 0.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 VanEck Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VanEck Israel's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VanEck Israel's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VanEck Israel stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VanEck Israel's open interest, investors have to compare it to VanEck Israel's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VanEck Israel is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VanEck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
VanEck Israel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VanEck Israel Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Israel ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 64.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 0.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck Israel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VanEck Israel Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VanEck Israel | VanEck Israel Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VanEck Israel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VanEck Israel's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck Israel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 63.13 and 65.46, respectively. We have considered VanEck Israel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck Israel etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck Israel etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.007 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7688 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0133 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.8944 |
Predictive Modules for VanEck Israel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Israel ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VanEck Israel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VanEck Israel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VanEck Israel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of VanEck Israel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VanEck Israel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VanEck Israel's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VanEck Israel's historical news coverage. VanEck Israel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.27 and 64.61, respectively. We have considered VanEck Israel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VanEck Israel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VanEck Israel ETF is based on 3 months time horizon.
VanEck Israel Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as VanEck Israel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VanEck Israel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VanEck Israel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 14 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
63.38 | 63.44 | 0.09 |
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VanEck Israel Hype Timeline
VanEck Israel ETF is currently traded for 63.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. VanEck is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 63.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on VanEck Israel is about 5318.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.37. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Israel to cross-verify your projections.VanEck Israel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VanEck Israel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VanEck Israel's future price movements. Getting to know how VanEck Israel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VanEck Israel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LEGR | First Trust Indxx | (0.45) | 1 per month | 0.68 | 0.08 | 1.18 | (1.41) | 3.34 | |
| ABEQ | Absolute Core Strategy | (0.15) | 1 per month | 0.36 | 0.09 | 1.06 | (0.84) | 2.37 | |
| GSEU | Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta | (0.33) | 4 per month | 0.55 | 0.10 | 1.30 | (1.30) | 3.08 | |
| EDGI | The Advisors Inner | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.55 | 0.11 | 1.06 | (1.22) | 2.53 | |
| IZRL | ARK Israel Innovative | 0.40 | 1 per month | 1.04 | 0.06 | 1.69 | (1.79) | 4.99 | |
| TRTY | Cambria Trinity ETF | (0.12) | 3 per month | 0.79 | 0.03 | 1.01 | (0.87) | 2.59 | |
| EWO | iShares MSCI Austria | 0.27 | 2 per month | 0.43 | 0.28 | 1.76 | (1.45) | 4.68 | |
| DXIV | Dimensional ETF Trust | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.28 | 0.20 | 1.21 | (0.89) | 2.43 | |
| FTXN | First Trust Nasdaq | 0.12 | 3 per month | 1.10 | 0.08 | 2.18 | (1.79) | 5.39 | |
| FLEE | Franklin FTSE Europe | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.61 | 0.10 | 1.41 | (1.22) | 3.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for VanEck Israel
For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck Israel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck Israel's price trends.VanEck Israel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck Israel etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck Israel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck Israel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VanEck Israel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck Israel etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck Israel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck Israel etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck Israel ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 63.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 63.38 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.36) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.73) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.7 |
VanEck Israel Risk Indicators
The analysis of VanEck Israel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Israel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8699 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9446 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Variance | 1.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8923 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.93) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VanEck Israel
The number of cover stories for VanEck Israel depends on current market conditions and VanEck Israel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VanEck Israel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VanEck Israel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Israel to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Understanding VanEck Israel ETF requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects VanEck's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what VanEck Israel's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push VanEck Israel's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Israel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Israel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, VanEck Israel's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.