JD Sports Stock Forward View

JD Stock   81.94  0.62  0.75%   
JD Sports Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JD Sports stock prices and determine the direction of JD Sports Fashion's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JD Sports' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of JD Sports' share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JD Sports, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of JD Sports' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of JD Sports and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from JD Sports' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JD Sports Fashion, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting JD Sports' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.905
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.1136
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.1176
Wall Street Target Price
106.856
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.18
Using JD Sports hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JD Sports Fashion from the perspective of JD Sports response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JD Sports Fashion on the next trading day is expected to be 86.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.60.

JD Sports after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 81.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JD Sports to cross-verify your projections.

JD Sports Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine JD Sports price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JD Sports using various technical indicators. When you analyze JD Sports charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for JD Sports is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of JD Sports Fashion value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

JD Sports Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of JD Sports Fashion on the next trading day is expected to be 86.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49, mean absolute percentage error of 3.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JD Sports Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JD Sports' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JD Sports Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest JD Sports  JD Sports Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

JD Sports Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JD Sports' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JD Sports' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 83.94 and 88.55, respectively. We have considered JD Sports' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
81.94
86.24
Expected Value
88.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JD Sports stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JD Sports stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3604
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4853
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors90.6009
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of JD Sports Fashion. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict JD Sports. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for JD Sports

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JD Sports Fashion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.6381.9484.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.4081.7184.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
79.6983.3887.07
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.030.03
Details

JD Sports After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of JD Sports at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JD Sports or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JD Sports, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

JD Sports Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting JD Sports' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JD Sports' historical news coverage. JD Sports' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 79.63 and 84.25, respectively. We have considered JD Sports' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
81.94
81.94
After-hype Price
84.25
Upside
JD Sports is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JD Sports Fashion is based on 3 months time horizon.

JD Sports Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JD Sports is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JD Sports backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JD Sports, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
2.31
  0.18 
  0.17 
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
81.94
81.94
0.00 
226.47  
Notes

JD Sports Hype Timeline

JD Sports Fashion is currently traded for 81.94on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. JD Sports is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on JD Sports is about 249.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 82.11. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. JD Sports Fashion has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of October 2025. The firm had 5:1 split on the 30th of November 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JD Sports to cross-verify your projections.

JD Sports Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to JD Sports' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JD Sports' future price movements. Getting to know how JD Sports' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JD Sports may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for JD Sports

For every potential investor in JD Sports, whether a beginner or expert, JD Sports' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JD Sports Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JD Sports. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JD Sports' price trends.

JD Sports Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JD Sports stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JD Sports could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JD Sports by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JD Sports Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JD Sports stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JD Sports shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JD Sports stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JD Sports Fashion entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JD Sports Risk Indicators

The analysis of JD Sports' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JD Sports' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jd sports stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for JD Sports

The number of cover stories for JD Sports depends on current market conditions and JD Sports' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JD Sports is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JD Sports' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

JD Sports Short Properties

JD Sports' future price predictability will typically decrease when JD Sports' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JD Sports Fashion often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JD Sports' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JD Sports' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments731 M

Other Information on Investing in JD Sports Stock

JD Sports financial ratios help investors to determine whether JD Sports Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JD Sports with respect to the benefits of owning JD Sports security.