KraneShares Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KBAB Etf | 19.53 0.30 1.51% |
KraneShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast KraneShares stock prices and determine the direction of KraneShares 2x Long's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KraneShares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of KraneShares' share price is at 55. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling KraneShares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KraneShares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KraneShares 2x Long from the perspective of KraneShares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KraneShares 2x Long on the next trading day is expected to be 19.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.17. KraneShares after-hype prediction price | USD 19.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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KraneShares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KraneShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KraneShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze KraneShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KraneShares Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KraneShares 2x Long on the next trading day is expected to be 19.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KraneShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KraneShares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KraneShares Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KraneShares | KraneShares Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
KraneShares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KraneShares' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KraneShares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.24 and 24.88, respectively. We have considered KraneShares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KraneShares etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KraneShares etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9596 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0061 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6528 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0385 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 39.1685 |
Predictive Modules for KraneShares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares 2x Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KraneShares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KraneShares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KraneShares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of KraneShares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KraneShares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KraneShares' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KraneShares' historical news coverage. KraneShares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.21 and 24.85, respectively. We have considered KraneShares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KraneShares is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KraneShares 2x Long is based on 3 months time horizon.
KraneShares Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as KraneShares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KraneShares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KraneShares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 5.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.53 | 19.53 | 0.00 |
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KraneShares Hype Timeline
KraneShares 2x Long is now traded for 19.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KraneShares is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on KraneShares is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.53. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KraneShares to cross-verify your projections.KraneShares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KraneShares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KraneShares' future price movements. Getting to know how KraneShares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KraneShares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ODDS | Pacer BlueStar Digital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.31 | (1.90) | 4.63 | |
| BNDS | Series Portfolios Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.31 | (0.22) | 0.88 | |
| EXUS | Macquarie Focused International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.03 | 1.23 | (1.07) | 3.11 | |
| FPXE | First Trust IPOX | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.06 | 1.21 | (1.23) | 3.10 | |
| FRIZ | Franklin Dividend Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | (0.03) | 0.85 | (0.81) | 3.18 | |
| EFRA | iShares Environmental Infrastructure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.09 | 1.62 | (1.06) | 3.85 | |
| VCLN | Virtus Duff Phelps | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.08 | 3.28 | (2.13) | 12.59 | |
| KBUF | KraneShares Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | (0.07) | 1.09 | (1.00) | 3.46 | |
| MIDE | DBX ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.08 | 1.51 | (1.66) | 4.91 | |
| KNOW | Direxion All Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.30 | 0.13 | 0.93 | (0.84) | 1.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for KraneShares
For every potential investor in KraneShares, whether a beginner or expert, KraneShares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KraneShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KraneShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KraneShares' price trends.KraneShares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KraneShares etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KraneShares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KraneShares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KraneShares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KraneShares etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KraneShares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KraneShares etf market strength indicators, traders can identify KraneShares 2x Long entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3320.69 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.16) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.86 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.48) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.30) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.42 |
KraneShares Risk Indicators
The analysis of KraneShares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KraneShares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kraneshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.32 | |||
| Variance | 28.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KraneShares
The number of cover stories for KraneShares depends on current market conditions and KraneShares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KraneShares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KraneShares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KraneShares to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
The market value of KraneShares 2x Long is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that KraneShares' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether KraneShares represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, KraneShares' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.