KraneShares Emerging Etf Forward View - Simple Regression
| KEMQ Etf | USD 27.56 0.42 1.50% |
KraneShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of KraneShares Emerging's etf price is slightly above 61. This indicates that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling KraneShares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KraneShares Emerging hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KraneShares Emerging Markets from the perspective of KraneShares Emerging response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of KraneShares Emerging Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 26.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.80. KraneShares Emerging after-hype prediction price | USD 27.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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KraneShares Emerging Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KraneShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KraneShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze KraneShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KraneShares Emerging Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of KraneShares Emerging Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 26.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 0.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KraneShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KraneShares Emerging's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KraneShares Emerging Etf Forecast Pattern
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KraneShares Emerging Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KraneShares Emerging's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KraneShares Emerging's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.14 and 27.86, respectively. We have considered KraneShares Emerging's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KraneShares Emerging etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KraneShares Emerging etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8417 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7672 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0304 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.7969 |
Predictive Modules for KraneShares Emerging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KraneShares Emerging After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KraneShares Emerging at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KraneShares Emerging or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of KraneShares Emerging, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KraneShares Emerging Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KraneShares Emerging's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KraneShares Emerging's historical news coverage. KraneShares Emerging's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.20 and 28.92, respectively. We have considered KraneShares Emerging's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KraneShares Emerging is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KraneShares Emerging is based on 3 months time horizon.
KraneShares Emerging Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as KraneShares Emerging is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KraneShares Emerging backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KraneShares Emerging, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.56 | 27.56 | 0.00 |
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KraneShares Emerging Hype Timeline
KraneShares Emerging is now traded for 27.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KraneShares is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on KraneShares Emerging is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.56. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KraneShares Emerging to cross-verify your projections.KraneShares Emerging Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KraneShares Emerging's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KraneShares Emerging's future price movements. Getting to know how KraneShares Emerging's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KraneShares Emerging may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OZEM | Roundhill GLP 1 Weight | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | 0.24 | 2.38 | (1.89) | 7.31 | |
| COPP | Sprott Copper Miners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.32 | 4.48 | (2.76) | 8.70 | |
| PTEU | Pacer Trendpilot European | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | 0.12 | 1.41 | (1.24) | 2.90 | |
| CEFZ | RiverNorth Active Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | (0.01) | 1.09 | (1.12) | 3.90 | |
| HOMZ | The Hoya Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.04 | 2.61 | (1.27) | 5.85 | |
| PSCC | Invesco SP SmallCap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.08 | 1.70 | (1.10) | 3.80 | |
| XUDV | Franklin Templeton ETF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.54 | 0.07 | 1.32 | (1.11) | 3.23 | |
| FLAX | Franklin FTSE Asia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | 0.10 | 1.52 | (1.11) | 3.79 | |
| NIXT | Research Affiliates Deletions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.04 | 2.57 | (1.76) | 5.62 | |
| NTSE | WisdomTree Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.13 | 1.89 | (1.14) | 3.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for KraneShares Emerging
For every potential investor in KraneShares, whether a beginner or expert, KraneShares Emerging's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KraneShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KraneShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KraneShares Emerging's price trends.KraneShares Emerging Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KraneShares Emerging etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KraneShares Emerging could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KraneShares Emerging by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KraneShares Emerging Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KraneShares Emerging etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KraneShares Emerging shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KraneShares Emerging etf market strength indicators, traders can identify KraneShares Emerging Markets entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KraneShares Emerging Risk Indicators
The analysis of KraneShares Emerging's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KraneShares Emerging's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kraneshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KraneShares Emerging
The number of cover stories for KraneShares Emerging depends on current market conditions and KraneShares Emerging's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KraneShares Emerging is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KraneShares Emerging's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KraneShares Emerging to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
KraneShares Emerging's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on KraneShares's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate KraneShares Emerging's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since KraneShares Emerging's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that KraneShares Emerging's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether KraneShares Emerging represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, KraneShares Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.