Lucid Stock Forecast - Total Risk Alpha
| LCID Stock | USD 11.00 0.36 3.38% |
Lucid Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lucid stock prices and determine the direction of Lucid Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lucid's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Lucid's share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lucid, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (2.29) | EPS Estimate Current Year (9.64) | EPS Estimate Next Year (6.79) | Wall Street Target Price 17.0556 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (2.22) |
Using Lucid hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lucid Group from the perspective of Lucid response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lucid using Lucid's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lucid using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lucid's stock price.
Lucid Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lucid's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lucid. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lucid stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.9899 | Short Percent 0.4532 | Short Ratio 6.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 45.6 M | 50 Day MA 12.2137 |
Lucid Relative Strength Index
Lucid Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lucid's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lucid. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lucid can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lucid Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lucid's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lucid.
Lucid Implied Volatility | 1.08 |
Lucid's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lucid Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lucid's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lucid stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lucid's options are near their expiration.
Lucid after-hype prediction price | USD 11.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lucid to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lucid contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lucid Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0675% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Lucid trading at USD 11.0, that is roughly USD 0.007425 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lucid's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lucid Group options at the current volatility level of 1.08%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Lucid Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lucid's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lucid's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lucid stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lucid's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lucid's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lucid is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lucid. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Lucid Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lucid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lucid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lucid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Lucid Volatility | Backtest Lucid | Information Ratio |
Lucid Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 Lucid Group was traded for 11.00 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 11.06 and the lowest listed price was 10.55 . The trading volume for the day was 6.3 M. The trading history from January 27, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 3.18% . |
| Compare Lucid to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Lucid
For every potential investor in Lucid, whether a beginner or expert, Lucid's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lucid Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lucid. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lucid's price trends.Lucid Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lucid stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lucid could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lucid by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lucid Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lucid stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lucid shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lucid stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lucid Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lucid Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lucid's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lucid's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lucid stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.4 | |||
| Variance | 19.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lucid
The number of cover stories for Lucid depends on current market conditions and Lucid's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lucid is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lucid's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lucid Short Properties
Lucid's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lucid's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lucid Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lucid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lucid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 244.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lucid to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lucid. If investors know Lucid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lucid listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (10.51) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.683 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Lucid Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lucid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lucid's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lucid's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lucid's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lucid's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lucid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lucid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lucid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.