Lufax Holding Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

LU Stock  USD 2.56  0.01  0.39%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lufax Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 2.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.76. Lufax Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Lufax Holding's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lufax Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lufax Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lufax Holding's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(4.50)
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.7281
Wall Street Target Price
2.9538
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.31)
Using Lufax Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lufax Holding from the perspective of Lufax Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lufax Holding using Lufax Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lufax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lufax Holding's stock price.

Lufax Holding Short Interest

An investor who is long Lufax Holding may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lufax Holding and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lufax Holding with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
2.9285
Short Percent
0.0471
Short Ratio
2.85
Shares Short Prior Month
6.3 M
50 Day MA
2.7216

Lufax Holding Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lufax Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lufax. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lufax can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lufax Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lufax Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lufax Holding.

Lufax Holding Implied Volatility

    
  1.87  
Lufax Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lufax Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lufax Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lufax Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lufax Holding's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lufax Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 2.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.76.

Lufax Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lufax Holding to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Lufax Stock please use our How to Invest in Lufax Holding guide.At this time, Lufax Holding's Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 7.37 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 774.77 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 622.3 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 758.3 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Lufax Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lufax Holding's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lufax Holding's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lufax Holding stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lufax Holding's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lufax Holding's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lufax Holding is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lufax. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Lufax Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lufax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lufax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lufax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Lufax Holding price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Lufax Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Lufax Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 2.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lufax Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lufax Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lufax Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lufax Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lufax Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lufax Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 5.51, respectively. We have considered Lufax Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.56
2.29
Expected Value
5.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lufax Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lufax Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2085
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1928
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0681
SAESum of the absolute errors11.7605
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Lufax Holding historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Lufax Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lufax Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lufax Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.535.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.645.86
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.692.953.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lufax Holding

For every potential investor in Lufax, whether a beginner or expert, Lufax Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lufax Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lufax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lufax Holding's price trends.

Lufax Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lufax Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lufax Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lufax Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lufax Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lufax Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lufax Holding's current price.

Lufax Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lufax Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lufax Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lufax Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lufax Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lufax Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lufax Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lufax Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lufax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Lufax Stock Analysis

When running Lufax Holding's price analysis, check to measure Lufax Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lufax Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Lufax Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lufax Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lufax Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lufax Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.