Melar Acquisition Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| MACI Stock | 10.69 0.01 0.09% |
Melar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Melar Acquisition's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Melar Acquisition's stock price is under 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 29th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Melar, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Melar Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Melar Acquisition Corp from the perspective of Melar Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Melar Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74. Melar Acquisition after-hype prediction price | USD 10.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Melar Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. Melar Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Melar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Melar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Melar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Melar Acquisition Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Melar Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Melar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Melar Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Melar Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Melar Acquisition | Melar Acquisition Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Melar Acquisition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Melar Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Melar Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.53 and 10.84, respectively. We have considered Melar Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Melar Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Melar Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.953 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0121 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.7407 |
Predictive Modules for Melar Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Melar Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Melar Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Melar Acquisition After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Melar Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Melar Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Melar Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Melar Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Melar Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Melar Acquisition's historical news coverage. Melar Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.53 and 10.85, respectively. We have considered Melar Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Melar Acquisition is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Melar Acquisition Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Melar Acquisition Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Melar Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Melar Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Melar Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.69 | 10.69 | 0.00 |
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Melar Acquisition Hype Timeline
Melar Acquisition Corp is now traded for 10.69. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Melar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Melar Acquisition is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.69. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.42. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Melar Acquisition Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Melar Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.Melar Acquisition Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Melar Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Melar Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how Melar Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Melar Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SVCC | Stellar V Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.14 | (0.29) | 0.29 | (0.29) | 1.25 | |
| WLACU | Willow Lane Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.02 | 0.06 | 7.25 | (3.27) | 30.46 | |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.43) | 0.19 | (0.19) | 0.86 | |
| CEPO | Cantor Equity Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.47 | (0.57) | 1.81 | |
| HCMA | HCM Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SZZL | Sizzle Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.06 | (0.20) | 0.39 | (0.20) | 1.18 | |
| RAC | Rithm Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.21 | (0.17) | 0.68 | (0.38) | 1.64 | |
| DAAQ | Digital Asset Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.45) | 0.20 | (0.29) | 0.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Melar Acquisition
For every potential investor in Melar, whether a beginner or expert, Melar Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Melar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Melar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Melar Acquisition's price trends.Melar Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Melar Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Melar Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Melar Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Melar Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Melar Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Melar Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Melar Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Melar Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2.84 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.69 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 60.13 |
Melar Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Melar Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Melar Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting melar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1081 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1559 | |||
| Variance | 0.0243 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0434 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Melar Acquisition
The number of cover stories for Melar Acquisition depends on current market conditions and Melar Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Melar Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Melar Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Melar Acquisition Short Properties
Melar Acquisition's future price predictability will typically decrease when Melar Acquisition's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Melar Acquisition Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Melar Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Melar Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Percent Float | 0.0001 | |
| Shares Float | 13 M | |
| Short Percent | 0.0001 |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Melar Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Melar introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Melar Acquisition. Expected growth trajectory for Melar significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Melar Acquisition listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Understanding Melar Acquisition Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Melar's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Melar Acquisition's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Melar Acquisition's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Melar Acquisition's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Melar Acquisition represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Melar Acquisition's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.