Roundhill Magnificent Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MAGS Etf | USD 65.62 0.69 1.06% |
Roundhill Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Roundhill Magnificent's share price is approaching 48. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Roundhill Magnificent, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Roundhill Magnificent hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Roundhill Magnificent Seven from the perspective of Roundhill Magnificent response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Roundhill Magnificent Seven on the next trading day is expected to be 65.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.96. Roundhill Magnificent after-hype prediction price | USD 65.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Roundhill Magnificent Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Roundhill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Roundhill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Roundhill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Roundhill Magnificent Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Roundhill Magnificent Seven on the next trading day is expected to be 65.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roundhill Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roundhill Magnificent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Roundhill Magnificent Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Roundhill Magnificent | Roundhill Magnificent Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Roundhill Magnificent Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Roundhill Magnificent's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roundhill Magnificent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 64.25 and 66.78, respectively. We have considered Roundhill Magnificent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roundhill Magnificent etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roundhill Magnificent etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8866 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7207 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0111 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.9645 |
Predictive Modules for Roundhill Magnificent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roundhill Magnificent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Roundhill Magnificent After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Roundhill Magnificent at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Roundhill Magnificent or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Roundhill Magnificent, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Roundhill Magnificent Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Roundhill Magnificent's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Roundhill Magnificent's historical news coverage. Roundhill Magnificent's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.36 and 66.88, respectively. We have considered Roundhill Magnificent's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Roundhill Magnificent is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Roundhill Magnificent is based on 3 months time horizon.
Roundhill Magnificent Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Roundhill Magnificent is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Roundhill Magnificent backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Roundhill Magnificent, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
65.62 | 65.62 | 0.00 |
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Roundhill Magnificent Hype Timeline
Roundhill Magnificent is now traded for 65.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Roundhill is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Roundhill Magnificent is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.62. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Roundhill Magnificent has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 501.11. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.1. The firm last dividend was issued on the 23rd of September 2021. Roundhill Magnificent had 105:100 split on the 1st of August 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roundhill Magnificent to cross-verify your projections.Roundhill Magnificent Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Roundhill Magnificent's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Roundhill Magnificent's future price movements. Getting to know how Roundhill Magnificent's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Roundhill Magnificent may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XME | SPDR SP Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.67 | 0.21 | 3.28 | (2.62) | 7.33 | |
| EMLC | VanEck JP Morgan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.39 | (0.27) | 0.90 | |
| SHM | SPDR Nuveen Bloomberg | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.85) | 0.13 | (0.10) | 0.25 | |
| HYD | VanEck High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.14 | (0.35) | 0.27 | (0.24) | 1.22 | |
| FIXD | First Trust TCW | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.20 | (0.35) | 0.30 | (0.36) | 0.82 | |
| PTLC | Pacer Trendpilot Large | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | (0.09) | 0.98 | (1.17) | 3.58 | |
| ITB | iShares Home Construction | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | (0.02) | 4.22 | (2.23) | 8.51 | |
| FACTX | Fidelity Advisor Health | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | 0.03 | 1.71 | (1.12) | 3.94 | |
| CGDG | Capital Group Dividend | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | (0.03) | 0.90 | (0.99) | 3.15 | |
| XT | iShares Exponential Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | (0.02) | 1.25 | (1.73) | 4.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Roundhill Magnificent
For every potential investor in Roundhill, whether a beginner or expert, Roundhill Magnificent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roundhill Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roundhill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roundhill Magnificent's price trends.Roundhill Magnificent Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roundhill Magnificent etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roundhill Magnificent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roundhill Magnificent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Roundhill Magnificent Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roundhill Magnificent etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roundhill Magnificent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roundhill Magnificent etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Roundhill Magnificent Seven entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Roundhill Magnificent Risk Indicators
The analysis of Roundhill Magnificent's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roundhill Magnificent's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roundhill etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9341 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Variance | 1.59 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Roundhill Magnificent
The number of cover stories for Roundhill Magnificent depends on current market conditions and Roundhill Magnificent's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Roundhill Magnificent is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Roundhill Magnificent's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roundhill Magnificent to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
The market value of Roundhill Magnificent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roundhill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roundhill Magnificent's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roundhill Magnificent's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roundhill Magnificent's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roundhill Magnificent's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roundhill Magnificent's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roundhill Magnificent is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roundhill Magnificent's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.