Ramaco Resources Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| METC Stock | USD 19.97 2.61 11.56% |
Ramaco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ramaco Resources stock prices and determine the direction of Ramaco Resources's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ramaco Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Ramaco Resources' share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ramaco Resources, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ramaco Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ramaco Resources from the perspective of Ramaco Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ramaco Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 19.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.71. Ramaco Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 19.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ramaco Resources to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ramaco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ramaco Stock guide.Ramaco Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ramaco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ramaco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ramaco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ramaco Resources Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ramaco Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 19.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 1.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ramaco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ramaco Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ramaco Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ramaco Resources | Ramaco Resources Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ramaco Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ramaco Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ramaco Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.94 and 26.00, respectively. We have considered Ramaco Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ramaco Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ramaco Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8792 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1732 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9952 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0496 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 59.71 |
Predictive Modules for Ramaco Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ramaco Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ramaco Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ramaco Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ramaco Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ramaco Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ramaco Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ramaco Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ramaco Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ramaco Resources' historical news coverage. Ramaco Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.94 and 26.00, respectively. We have considered Ramaco Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ramaco Resources is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ramaco Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ramaco Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ramaco Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ramaco Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ramaco Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 6.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.97 | 19.97 | 0.00 |
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Ramaco Resources Hype Timeline
Ramaco Resources is now traded for 19.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ramaco is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.5%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ramaco Resources is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.97. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Ramaco Resources was now reported as 7.96. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.68. Ramaco Resources last dividend was issued on the 30th of May 2025. The entity had 1014:1000 split on the 28th of February 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ramaco Resources to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ramaco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ramaco Stock guide.Ramaco Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ramaco Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ramaco Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Ramaco Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ramaco Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NRP | Natural Resource Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | 0.11 | 1.78 | (1.47) | 6.49 | |
| CSIQ | Canadian Solar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.17 | 0.01 | 10.78 | (11.80) | 36.09 | |
| NEXT | Nextdecade Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.15 | (6.04) | 17.50 | |
| GLP | Global Partners LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.91 | 0.04 | 3.06 | (2.99) | 9.17 | |
| DNOW | Now Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.10 | 0 | 3.90 | (3.24) | 11.62 | |
| WKC | World Kinect | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | 0.01 | 2.94 | (3.35) | 11.51 | |
| EFXT | Enerflex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.24 | 3.88 | (3.16) | 11.18 | |
| AESI | Atlas Energy Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.02 | (0.01) | 5.05 | (4.57) | 21.94 | |
| FLNG | FLEX LNG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.03 | 2.09 | (1.91) | 7.10 | |
| XPRO | Expro Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.61 | 0.09 | 5.94 | (4.94) | 14.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ramaco Resources
For every potential investor in Ramaco, whether a beginner or expert, Ramaco Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ramaco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ramaco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ramaco Resources' price trends.Ramaco Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ramaco Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ramaco Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ramaco Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ramaco Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ramaco Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ramaco Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ramaco Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ramaco Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 664623.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.86) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.88 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.88 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.57 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.21) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.61) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.52 |
Ramaco Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ramaco Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ramaco Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ramaco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.03 | |||
| Variance | 36.4 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ramaco Resources
The number of cover stories for Ramaco Resources depends on current market conditions and Ramaco Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ramaco Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ramaco Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ramaco Resources Short Properties
Ramaco Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ramaco Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ramaco Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ramaco Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ramaco Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ramaco Resources to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ramaco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ramaco Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Ramaco diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ramaco Resources. Expected growth trajectory for Ramaco significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ramaco Resources data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Ramaco Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ramaco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ramaco Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ramaco Resources' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Ramaco Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ramaco Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Ramaco Resources' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ramaco Resources represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Ramaco Resources' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.