Neuberger Berman Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

Neuberger Berman Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Neuberger price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neuberger using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neuberger charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Neuberger Berman is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Neuberger Berman Long value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Neuberger Berman Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neuberger Berman Long on the next trading day is expected to be 18.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.28.

Neuberger Berman Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Neuberger Berman Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neuberger Berman mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neuberger Berman mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Neuberger Berman Long. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Neuberger Berman. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Neuberger Berman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neuberger Berman Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 18.19 18.46 18.73 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 18.37 18.64 18.91 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 18.58 18.73 18.89 Details

Neuberger Berman After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Neuberger Berman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Neuberger Berman Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Neuberger Berman Hype Timeline

Neuberger Berman Long is now traded for 18.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Neuberger is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 3.09%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.91%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Neuberger Berman is about 18.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.60. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neuberger Berman to cross-verify your projections.

Neuberger Berman Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Neuberger Berman

For every potential investor in Neuberger, whether a beginner or expert, Neuberger Berman's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neuberger Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neuberger. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neuberger Berman's price trends.

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Neuberger Berman Market Strength Events

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