OHTL Public Stock Forward View
| OHTL Stock | THB 315.00 0.00 0.00% |
OHTL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of OHTL Public's share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling OHTL Public, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using OHTL Public hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OHTL Public from the perspective of OHTL Public response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OHTL Public on the next trading day is expected to be 312.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 431.53. OHTL Public after-hype prediction price | THB 315.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OHTL |
OHTL Public Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OHTL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OHTL using various technical indicators. When you analyze OHTL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OHTL Public Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of OHTL Public on the next trading day is expected to be 312.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.07, mean absolute percentage error of 104.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 431.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OHTL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OHTL Public's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OHTL Public Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OHTL Public | OHTL Public Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
OHTL Public Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OHTL Public's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OHTL Public's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 308.87 and 317.04, respectively. We have considered OHTL Public's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OHTL Public stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OHTL Public stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.7641 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.0742 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0233 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 431.5272 |
Predictive Modules for OHTL Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OHTL Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OHTL Public After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OHTL Public at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OHTL Public or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OHTL Public, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OHTL Public Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OHTL Public's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OHTL Public's historical news coverage. OHTL Public's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 310.92 and 319.08, respectively. We have considered OHTL Public's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OHTL Public is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OHTL Public is based on 3 months time horizon.
OHTL Public Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OHTL Public is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OHTL Public backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OHTL Public, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 4.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
315.00 | 315.00 | 0.00 |
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OHTL Public Hype Timeline
OHTL Public is now traded for 315.00on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. OHTL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on OHTL Public is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 315.00. About 80.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 38.24. OHTL Public last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2019. The entity had 1:2 split on the 31st of January 1996. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OHTL Public to cross-verify your projections.OHTL Public Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OHTL Public's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OHTL Public's future price movements. Getting to know how OHTL Public's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OHTL Public may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SNP | SP Syndicate Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.04 | (1.03) | 4.76 | |
| SABINA | Sabina Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | (0.04) | 1.34 | (1.87) | 4.37 | |
| SHANG | Shangri La Hotel Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.54 | 0.04 | 9.14 | (10.00) | 23.94 | |
| SHR | S Hotels and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.06 | 3.14 | (3.07) | 7.76 | |
| KLINIQ | The Klinique Med | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.06 | (2.88) | 15.35 | |
| PCSGH | PCS Machine Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | (0.06) | 1.31 | (1.32) | 5.87 | |
| SAT | Somboon Advance Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.12 | 1.53 | (0.75) | 7.78 | |
| KYE | Kang Yong Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | 0.04 | 1.37 | (0.72) | 2.14 | |
| AU | After You Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.11 | (2.47) | 8.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for OHTL Public
For every potential investor in OHTL, whether a beginner or expert, OHTL Public's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OHTL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OHTL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OHTL Public's price trends.OHTL Public Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OHTL Public stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OHTL Public could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OHTL Public by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OHTL Public Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OHTL Public stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OHTL Public shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OHTL Public stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OHTL Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
OHTL Public Risk Indicators
The analysis of OHTL Public's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OHTL Public's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ohtl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.08 | |||
| Variance | 16.68 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OHTL Public
The number of cover stories for OHTL Public depends on current market conditions and OHTL Public's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OHTL Public is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OHTL Public's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in OHTL Stock
OHTL Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether OHTL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OHTL with respect to the benefits of owning OHTL Public security.