Oracle CDR Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ORAC Stock | 7.39 0.38 4.89% |
Oracle Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Oracle CDR's share price is below 30 as of today. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Oracle CDR, making its price go up or down. Momentum 29
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Oracle CDR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oracle CDR from the perspective of Oracle CDR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Oracle CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 7.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.72. Oracle CDR after-hype prediction price | CAD 7.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Oracle |
Oracle CDR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oracle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oracle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oracle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Oracle CDR Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Oracle CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 7.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oracle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oracle CDR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Oracle CDR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Oracle CDR | Oracle CDR Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Oracle CDR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Oracle CDR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oracle CDR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.26 and 10.52, respectively. We have considered Oracle CDR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oracle CDR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oracle CDR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4398 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1188 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2953 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0305 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.72 |
Predictive Modules for Oracle CDR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oracle CDR After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oracle CDR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oracle CDR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oracle CDR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oracle CDR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oracle CDR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oracle CDR's historical news coverage. Oracle CDR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.28 and 10.50, respectively. We have considered Oracle CDR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oracle CDR is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oracle CDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oracle CDR Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oracle CDR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oracle CDR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oracle CDR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.75 | 3.13 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.39 | 7.39 | 0.00 |
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Oracle CDR Hype Timeline
Oracle CDR is now traded for 7.39on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.6. Oracle is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.75%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oracle CDR is about 390.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.99. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.24. Oracle CDR recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.32. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 7:1 split on the 14th of November 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oracle CDR to cross-verify your projections.Oracle CDR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oracle CDR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oracle CDR's future price movements. Getting to know how Oracle CDR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oracle CDR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CAF | Canaf Investments | 0.01 | 1 per month | 2.08 | 0.07 | 6.25 | (5.88) | 14.23 | |
| CU-PJ | Canadian Utilities Limited | 0.34 | 6 per month | 0.80 | (0.07) | 1.64 | (1.47) | 4.78 | |
| CNJ-P | CNJ Capital Investments | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IGBT-UN | 2028 Investment Grade | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.53 | (0.07) | 1.32 | (0.93) | 3.72 | |
| AI | Atrium Mortgage Investment | (0.03) | 3 per month | 0.34 | 0.04 | 1.18 | (0.69) | 3.03 | |
| EVT | Economic Investment Trust | 0.30 | 7 per month | 0.69 | 0.13 | 3.07 | (1.73) | 7.15 | |
| DCM | Data Communications Management | (0.05) | 6 per month | 1.98 | 0.09 | 5.47 | (3.66) | 12.85 | |
| MU | Micron Technology | 5.83 | 8 per month | 3.69 | 0.18 | 8.86 | (6.75) | 19.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Oracle CDR
For every potential investor in Oracle, whether a beginner or expert, Oracle CDR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oracle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oracle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oracle CDR's price trends.Oracle CDR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oracle CDR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oracle CDR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oracle CDR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Oracle CDR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oracle CDR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oracle CDR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oracle CDR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oracle CDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Oracle CDR Risk Indicators
The analysis of Oracle CDR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oracle CDR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oracle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Variance | 9.35 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Oracle CDR
The number of cover stories for Oracle CDR depends on current market conditions and Oracle CDR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oracle CDR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oracle CDR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Oracle Stock
Oracle CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oracle Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oracle with respect to the benefits of owning Oracle CDR security.