Osaka Gas Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| OSGSF Stock | USD 32.70 0.00 0.00% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Osaka Gas Co on the next trading day is expected to be 32.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.01. Osaka Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Osaka Gas' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Osaka Gas' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Osaka Gas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Osaka Gas Co from the perspective of Osaka Gas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Osaka Gas Co on the next trading day is expected to be 32.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.01. Osaka Gas after-hype prediction price | USD 32.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Osaka |
Osaka Gas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Osaka price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Osaka using various technical indicators. When you analyze Osaka charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Osaka Gas Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Osaka Gas Co on the next trading day is expected to be 32.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Osaka Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Osaka Gas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Osaka Gas Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Osaka Gas Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Osaka Gas' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Osaka Gas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.75 and 34.65, respectively. We have considered Osaka Gas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Osaka Gas pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Osaka Gas pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0778 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1019 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0031 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.01 |
Predictive Modules for Osaka Gas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osaka Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Osaka Gas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Osaka Gas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Osaka Gas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Osaka Gas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Osaka Gas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Osaka Gas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Osaka Gas' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Osaka Gas' historical news coverage. Osaka Gas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.75 and 34.65, respectively. We have considered Osaka Gas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Osaka Gas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Osaka Gas is based on 3 months time horizon.
Osaka Gas Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Osaka Gas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Osaka Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Osaka Gas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.95 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.70 | 32.70 | 0.00 |
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Osaka Gas Hype Timeline
Osaka Gas is now traded for 32.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Osaka is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Osaka Gas is about 6964.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.71. About 36.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.01. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Osaka Gas last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Osaka Gas to cross-verify your projections.Osaka Gas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Osaka Gas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Osaka Gas' future price movements. Getting to know how Osaka Gas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Osaka Gas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TKGSF | Tokyo Gas CoLtd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.23 | |
| TKGSY | Tokyo Gas Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.09 | 4.17 | (2.03) | 14.28 | |
| XNGSY | ENN Energy Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | (0.03) | 2.24 | (1.95) | 5.71 | |
| XNGSF | ENN Energy Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.08 | (5.42) | 17.66 | |
| ITGGF | Italgas SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 3.52 | (0.09) | 11.57 | |
| ERRAF | Emera Incorporated | 0.28 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.48 | |
| CHUEF | Chubu Electric Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.45 | 0.02 | 13.21 | (11.68) | 34.37 | |
| PNAGF | PETRONAS Gas Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 4.47 | (3.89) | 25.18 | |
| ATGFF | AltaGas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.84 | (2.19) | 5.12 | |
| ELIAF | Elia Group SANV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Osaka Gas
For every potential investor in Osaka, whether a beginner or expert, Osaka Gas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Osaka Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Osaka. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Osaka Gas' price trends.Osaka Gas Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Osaka Gas pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Osaka Gas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Osaka Gas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Osaka Gas Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Osaka Gas pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Osaka Gas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Osaka Gas pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Osaka Gas Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Osaka Gas Risk Indicators
The analysis of Osaka Gas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Osaka Gas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting osaka pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5419 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Osaka Gas
The number of cover stories for Osaka Gas depends on current market conditions and Osaka Gas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Osaka Gas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Osaka Gas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Osaka Gas Short Properties
Osaka Gas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Osaka Gas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Osaka Gas Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Osaka Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Osaka Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 52.50 | |
| Float Shares | 383.1M | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 1 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 321.30% |
Other Information on Investing in Osaka Pink Sheet
Osaka Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Osaka Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Osaka with respect to the benefits of owning Osaka Gas security.