PC Connection Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PCC Stock | EUR 47.00 1.80 3.69% |
PCC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PC Connection's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the value of RSI of PC Connection's share price is approaching 40 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PC Connection, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PC Connection hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PC Connection from the perspective of PC Connection response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PC Connection on the next trading day is expected to be 47.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.84. PC Connection after-hype prediction price | EUR 47.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PCC |
PC Connection Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PCC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PCC using various technical indicators. When you analyze PCC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PC Connection Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PC Connection on the next trading day is expected to be 47.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 0.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.84.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PCC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PC Connection's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PC Connection Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PC Connection | PC Connection Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PC Connection Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PC Connection's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PC Connection's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.07 and 49.55, respectively. We have considered PC Connection's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PC Connection stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PC Connection stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0846 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2098 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7351 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0148 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.8434 |
Predictive Modules for PC Connection
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PC Connection. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PC Connection After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PC Connection at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PC Connection or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PC Connection, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PC Connection Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PC Connection's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PC Connection's historical news coverage. PC Connection's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 44.77 and 49.23, respectively. We have considered PC Connection's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PC Connection is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PC Connection is based on 3 months time horizon.
PC Connection Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PC Connection is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PC Connection backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PC Connection, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
47.00 | 47.00 | 0.00 |
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PC Connection Hype Timeline
PC Connection is at this time traded for 47.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PCC is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on PC Connection is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 47.00. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.77. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PC Connection last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PC Connection to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in PCC Stock please use our How to Invest in PC Connection guide.PC Connection Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PC Connection's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PC Connection's future price movements. Getting to know how PC Connection's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PC Connection may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 5IU | ISOFOL MEDICAL AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.00 | 0.02 | 6.79 | (6.31) | 69.33 | |
| 8HH | Avanos Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | 0.06 | 3.92 | (3.50) | 14.57 | |
| COP | Compugroup Medical SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.07 | 2.49 | (1.92) | 6.28 | |
| AXL1 | Axfood AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.07 | 1.72 | (1.63) | 10.40 | |
| AZU | EBRO FOODS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | (0.05) | 1.33 | (1.46) | 3.65 | |
| MSI | Mitsui Chemicals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | (0) | 1.90 | (1.90) | 6.39 | |
| 0NH | Nomad Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | (0.01) | 5.88 | (4.46) | 14.73 | |
| 8SF | Sligro Food Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | (0.02) | 2.59 | (1.93) | 6.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for PC Connection
For every potential investor in PCC, whether a beginner or expert, PC Connection's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PCC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PCC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PC Connection's price trends.PC Connection Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PC Connection stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PC Connection could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PC Connection by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PC Connection Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PC Connection stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PC Connection shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PC Connection stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PC Connection entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 47.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 47.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.90) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.80) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 40.89 |
PC Connection Risk Indicators
The analysis of PC Connection's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PC Connection's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pcc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Variance | 4.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PC Connection
The number of cover stories for PC Connection depends on current market conditions and PC Connection's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PC Connection is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PC Connection's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in PCC Stock
When determining whether PC Connection offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of PC Connection's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pc Connection Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pc Connection Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PC Connection to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in PCC Stock please use our How to Invest in PC Connection guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.