Private Equity Stock Forward View

PEHN Stock  CHF 61.00  1.00  1.67%   
Private Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Private Equity's share price is approaching 37 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Private Equity, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 37

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Private Equity's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Private Equity and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Private Equity's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Private Equity Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Private Equity's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.217
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.124
Using Private Equity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Private Equity Holding from the perspective of Private Equity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Private Equity Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 60.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.04.

Private Equity after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 61.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Private Equity to cross-verify your projections.

Private Equity Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Private price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Private using various technical indicators. When you analyze Private charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Private Equity is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Private Equity Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Private Equity Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Private Equity Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 60.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Private Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Private Equity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Private Equity Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Private Equity  Private Equity Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Private Equity Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Private Equity's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Private Equity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.13 and 62.26, respectively. We have considered Private Equity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
61.00
60.70
Expected Value
62.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Private Equity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Private Equity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3722
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5974
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0097
SAESum of the absolute errors37.0416
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Private Equity Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Private Equity. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Private Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Private Equity Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
59.4761.0362.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.0051.5667.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
45.9360.2574.57
Details

Private Equity After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Private Equity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Private Equity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Private Equity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Private Equity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Private Equity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Private Equity's historical news coverage. Private Equity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.47 and 62.59, respectively. We have considered Private Equity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
61.00
61.03
After-hype Price
62.59
Upside
Private Equity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Private Equity Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Private Equity Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Private Equity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Private Equity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Private Equity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
1.56
 0.00  
 0.00  
5 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.00
61.03
0.05 
104.00  
Notes

Private Equity Hype Timeline

Private Equity Holding is at this time traded for 61.00on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Private is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 61.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 104.0%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Private Equity is about 9360.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.00. The company reported the revenue of 12.5 M. Net Income was 9.68 M with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (6.72 M). Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Private Equity to cross-verify your projections.

Private Equity Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Private Equity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Private Equity's future price movements. Getting to know how Private Equity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Private Equity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Private Equity

For every potential investor in Private, whether a beginner or expert, Private Equity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Private Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Private. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Private Equity's price trends.

Private Equity Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Private Equity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Private Equity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Private Equity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Private Equity Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Private Equity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Private Equity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Private Equity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Private Equity Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Private Equity Risk Indicators

The analysis of Private Equity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Private Equity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting private stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Private Equity

The number of cover stories for Private Equity depends on current market conditions and Private Equity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Private Equity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Private Equity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Private Equity Short Properties

Private Equity's future price predictability will typically decrease when Private Equity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Private Equity Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Private Equity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Private Equity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments160 K

Additional Tools for Private Stock Analysis

When running Private Equity's price analysis, check to measure Private Equity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Private Equity is operating at the current time. Most of Private Equity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Private Equity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Private Equity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Private Equity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.