Pinetree Capital Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

PNP Stock  CAD 9.70  0.15  1.52%   
Pinetree Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Pinetree Capital's share price is approaching 37 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pinetree Capital, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 37

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pinetree Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pinetree Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pinetree Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pinetree Capital from the perspective of Pinetree Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pinetree Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 9.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.33.

Pinetree Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 9.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pinetree Capital to cross-verify your projections.

Pinetree Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pinetree price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pinetree using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pinetree charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Pinetree Capital is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Pinetree Capital Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pinetree Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 9.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pinetree Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pinetree Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pinetree Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Pinetree Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pinetree Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pinetree Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.97 and 12.58, respectively. We have considered Pinetree Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.70
9.78
Expected Value
12.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pinetree Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pinetree Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3409
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0377
MADMean absolute deviation0.2599
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0229
SAESum of the absolute errors15.335
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Pinetree Capital price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Pinetree Capital. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Pinetree Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pinetree Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.899.7012.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.928.7311.54
Details

Pinetree Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pinetree Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pinetree Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pinetree Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pinetree Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pinetree Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pinetree Capital's historical news coverage. Pinetree Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.89 and 12.51, respectively. We have considered Pinetree Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.70
9.70
After-hype Price
12.51
Upside
Pinetree Capital is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pinetree Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pinetree Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pinetree Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pinetree Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pinetree Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.81
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.70
9.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Pinetree Capital Hype Timeline

Pinetree Capital is at this time traded for 9.70on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pinetree is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pinetree Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.70. About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.01. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pinetree Capital last dividend was issued on the 17th of July 2006. The entity had 1:2 split on the 14th of July 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pinetree Capital to cross-verify your projections.

Pinetree Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pinetree Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pinetree Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Pinetree Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pinetree Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Pinetree Capital

For every potential investor in Pinetree, whether a beginner or expert, Pinetree Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pinetree Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pinetree. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pinetree Capital's price trends.

Pinetree Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pinetree Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pinetree Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pinetree Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pinetree Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pinetree Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pinetree Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pinetree Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pinetree Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pinetree Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pinetree Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pinetree Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pinetree stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pinetree Capital

The number of cover stories for Pinetree Capital depends on current market conditions and Pinetree Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pinetree Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pinetree Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Pinetree Capital Short Properties

Pinetree Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pinetree Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pinetree Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pinetree Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pinetree Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.1 M

Other Information on Investing in Pinetree Stock

Pinetree Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pinetree Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pinetree with respect to the benefits of owning Pinetree Capital security.