Qiagen NV Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| QGEN Stock | USD 53.71 0.28 0.52% |
Qiagen Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Qiagen NV's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Qiagen NV's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Qiagen NV fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Qiagen NV's stock price is about 66 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Qiagen, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.325 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.604 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.4808 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.6478 | Wall Street Target Price 53.3198 |
Using Qiagen NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Qiagen NV from the perspective of Qiagen NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Qiagen NV using Qiagen NV's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Qiagen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Qiagen NV's stock price.
Qiagen NV Short Interest
An investor who is long Qiagen NV may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Qiagen NV and may potentially protect profits, hedge Qiagen NV with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 46.4557 | Short Percent 0.0404 | Short Ratio 4.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.3 M | 50 Day MA 47.271 |
Qiagen Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Qiagen NV on the next trading day is expected to be 50.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.62.Qiagen NV Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Qiagen NV's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Qiagen. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Qiagen can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Qiagen NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Qiagen NV's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Qiagen NV.
Qiagen NV Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Qiagen NV's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Qiagen NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Qiagen NV's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Qiagen NV stock will not fluctuate a lot when Qiagen NV's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Qiagen NV on the next trading day is expected to be 50.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.62. Qiagen NV after-hype prediction price | USD 53.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qiagen NV to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Qiagen contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Qiagen NV will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Qiagen NV trading at USD 53.71, that is roughly USD 0.0185 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Qiagen NV's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Qiagen NV options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Qiagen Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Qiagen NV's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Qiagen NV's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Qiagen NV stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Qiagen NV's open interest, investors have to compare it to Qiagen NV's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Qiagen NV is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Qiagen. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Qiagen NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Qiagen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Qiagen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Qiagen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Qiagen NV Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Qiagen NV on the next trading day is expected to be 50.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17, mean absolute percentage error of 7.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Qiagen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Qiagen NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Qiagen NV Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Qiagen NV | Qiagen NV Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Qiagen NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Qiagen NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Qiagen NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.86 and 53.30, respectively. We have considered Qiagen NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Qiagen NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Qiagen NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.1115 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1742 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0467 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 132.6234 |
Predictive Modules for Qiagen NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qiagen NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qiagen NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Qiagen NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Qiagen NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Qiagen NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Qiagen NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Qiagen NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Qiagen NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Qiagen NV's historical news coverage. Qiagen NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.99 and 56.43, respectively. We have considered Qiagen NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Qiagen NV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Qiagen NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Qiagen NV Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Qiagen NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Qiagen NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Qiagen NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.72 | 0.41 | 0.14 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
53.71 | 53.71 | 0.00 |
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Qiagen NV Hype Timeline
Qiagen NV is at this time traded for 53.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Qiagen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Qiagen NV is about 680.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.85. About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Qiagen NV was at this time reported as 17.72. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.36. Qiagen NV last dividend was issued on the 8th of January 2026. The entity had 962:1000 split on the 25th of January 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qiagen NV to cross-verify your projections.Qiagen NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Qiagen NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Qiagen NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Qiagen NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Qiagen NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RVTY | Revvity | (2.56) | 11 per month | 1.62 | 0.05 | 4.52 | (3.04) | 9.05 | |
| ALGN | Align Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | 0.13 | 3.51 | (2.32) | 10.81 | |
| HIMS | Hims Hers Health | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.19 | (5.66) | 15.28 | |
| BMRN | Biomarin Pharmaceutical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.03 | 3.15 | (2.32) | 22.06 | |
| ENSG | The Ensign Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.51 | (1.62) | 6.93 | |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.11 | 3.93 | (1.97) | 7.64 | |
| EXEL | Exelixis | 1.84 | 2 per month | 1.75 | 0.05 | 4.06 | (2.93) | 11.45 | |
| ICLR | ICON PLC | 4.72 | 10 per month | 2.25 | 0.01 | 4.70 | (3.51) | 13.31 | |
| BAX | Baxter International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.03 | 2.82 | (2.54) | 9.48 | |
| TECH | Bio Techne Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | 0.02 | 3.72 | (2.90) | 9.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Qiagen NV
For every potential investor in Qiagen, whether a beginner or expert, Qiagen NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Qiagen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Qiagen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Qiagen NV's price trends.Qiagen NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Qiagen NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Qiagen NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Qiagen NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Qiagen NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Qiagen NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Qiagen NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Qiagen NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Qiagen NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 55213.75 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.19) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 53.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 53.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.23 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.28) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 66.11 |
Qiagen NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Qiagen NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Qiagen NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qiagen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Variance | 7.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Qiagen NV
The number of cover stories for Qiagen NV depends on current market conditions and Qiagen NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Qiagen NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Qiagen NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Qiagen NV Short Properties
Qiagen NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Qiagen NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Qiagen NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Qiagen NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qiagen NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 218.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qiagen NV to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Qiagen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Qiagen NV guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Will Life Sciences Tools & Services sector continue expanding? Could Qiagen diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Qiagen NV. Anticipated expansion of Qiagen directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Qiagen NV data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.325 | Dividend Share 0.263 | Earnings Share 1.95 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
Investors evaluate Qiagen NV using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Qiagen NV's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Qiagen NV's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Qiagen NV's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Qiagen NV should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Qiagen NV's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.