Strathcona Resources Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SCR Stock | CAD 26.82 0.65 2.48% |
Strathcona Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Strathcona Resources' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Strathcona Resources' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Strathcona Resources fundamentals over time.
As of today, the value of relative strength index of Strathcona Resources' share price is approaching 36. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Strathcona Resources, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.049 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.58 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.5025 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5875 | Wall Street Target Price 30.7778 |
Using Strathcona Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Strathcona Resources from the perspective of Strathcona Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Strathcona Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 26.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.00. Strathcona Resources after-hype prediction price | CAD 26.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Strathcona |
Strathcona Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Strathcona price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Strathcona using various technical indicators. When you analyze Strathcona charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Strathcona Resources Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Strathcona Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 26.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83, mean absolute percentage error of 2.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Strathcona Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Strathcona Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Strathcona Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Strathcona Resources | Strathcona Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Strathcona Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Strathcona Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Strathcona Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.97 and 30.67, respectively. We have considered Strathcona Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Strathcona Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Strathcona Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3111 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2957 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8333 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0249 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 50.0 |
Predictive Modules for Strathcona Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Strathcona Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Strathcona Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Strathcona Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Strathcona Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Strathcona Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Strathcona Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Strathcona Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Strathcona Resources' historical news coverage. Strathcona Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.95 and 30.69, respectively. We have considered Strathcona Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Strathcona Resources is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Strathcona Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Strathcona Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Strathcona Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Strathcona Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Strathcona Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 3.85 | 0.30 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.82 | 26.82 | 0.00 |
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Strathcona Resources Hype Timeline
Strathcona Resources is at this time traded for 26.82on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Strathcona is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.51%. %. The volatility of related hype on Strathcona Resources is about 5923.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.85. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Strathcona Resources last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2025. The entity had 1:10 split on the 9th of January 2019. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Strathcona Resources to cross-verify your projections.Strathcona Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Strathcona Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Strathcona Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Strathcona Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Strathcona Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KEY | Keyera Corp | (0.62) | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.11 | 1.87 | (1.91) | 7.45 | |
| PSK | PrairieSky Royalty | 0.13 | 6 per month | 1.08 | 0.15 | 2.77 | (1.99) | 6.48 | |
| PEY | Peyto ExplorationDevelopment Corp | 0.20 | 5 per month | 1.48 | 0.17 | 3.52 | (2.31) | 10.43 | |
| NXE | NexGen Energy | 0.90 | 8 per month | 3.35 | 0.09 | 6.55 | (6.00) | 16.36 | |
| NVA | NuVista Energy | 0.13 | 9 per month | 0.89 | 0.14 | 2.21 | (1.70) | 6.79 | |
| WCP | Whitecap Resources | (0.22) | 9 per month | 1.43 | 0.15 | 2.71 | (2.03) | 8.71 | |
| BTE | Baytex Energy Corp | 0.1 | 1 per month | 1.77 | 0.22 | 4.58 | (3.39) | 19.59 | |
| ATH | Athabasca Oil Corp | (0.10) | 5 per month | 2.03 | 0.11 | 4.12 | (3.28) | 11.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Strathcona Resources
For every potential investor in Strathcona, whether a beginner or expert, Strathcona Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Strathcona Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Strathcona. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Strathcona Resources' price trends.Strathcona Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Strathcona Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Strathcona Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Strathcona Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Strathcona Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Strathcona Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Strathcona Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Strathcona Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Strathcona Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Strathcona Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Strathcona Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Strathcona Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting strathcona stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.77 | |||
| Variance | 14.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Strathcona Resources
The number of cover stories for Strathcona Resources depends on current market conditions and Strathcona Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Strathcona Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Strathcona Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Strathcona Stock
Strathcona Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Strathcona Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Strathcona with respect to the benefits of owning Strathcona Resources security.