SES SA Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SES Stock | EUR 6.52 0.08 1.21% |
SES Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SES SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, The value of RSI of SES SA's share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SES SA, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using SES SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SES SA from the perspective of SES SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SES SA on the next trading day is expected to be 6.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.73. SES SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 6.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SES |
SES SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SES price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SES using various technical indicators. When you analyze SES charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SES SA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SES SA on the next trading day is expected to be 6.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SES Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SES SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SES SA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SES SA | SES SA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SES SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SES SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SES SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.79 and 10.02, respectively. We have considered SES SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SES SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SES SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2871 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.176 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0302 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.7334 |
Predictive Modules for SES SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SES SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SES SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SES SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SES SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SES SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SES SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SES SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SES SA's historical news coverage. SES SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.90 and 10.14, respectively. We have considered SES SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SES SA is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SES SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
SES SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SES SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SES SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SES SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 3.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.52 | 6.52 | 0.00 |
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SES SA Hype Timeline
SES SA is at this time traded for 6.52on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SES is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on SES SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.52. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.61. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SES SA last dividend was issued on the 19th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SES SA to cross-verify your projections.SES SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SES SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SES SA's future price movements. Getting to know how SES SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SES SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| B7O | CITIC Telecom International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.65 | (0) | 7.69 | (6.90) | 21.88 | |
| 03F | IDP EDUCATION LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.99 | (0.0009) | 5.56 | (6.02) | 14.84 | |
| OTE | Hellenic Telecommunications Organization | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.36 | (0.05) | 1.18 | (0.95) | 3.74 | |
| DVY | DeVry Education Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.82 | (4.76) | 31.56 | |
| EV9 | Entravision Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.93 | 0.15 | 8.06 | (4.23) | 30.72 | |
| 1ZG | Zegona Communications plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | 0.20 | 4.91 | (3.61) | 11.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for SES SA
For every potential investor in SES, whether a beginner or expert, SES SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SES Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SES. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SES SA's price trends.SES SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SES SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SES SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SES SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SES SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SES SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SES SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SES SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SES SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 6.52 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.52 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.16 |
SES SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of SES SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SES SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ses stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.62 | |||
| Variance | 13.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SES SA
The number of cover stories for SES SA depends on current market conditions and SES SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SES SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SES SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in SES Stock
SES SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether SES Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SES with respect to the benefits of owning SES SA security.