SmartFinancial Stock Forward View
| SMBK Stock | USD 39.59 0.49 1.25% |
SmartFinancial Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of SmartFinancial's share price is at 57. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SmartFinancial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using SmartFinancial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SmartFinancial from the perspective of SmartFinancial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SmartFinancial on the next trading day is expected to be 40.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.25. SmartFinancial after-hype prediction price | USD 39.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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SmartFinancial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SmartFinancial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SmartFinancial using various technical indicators. When you analyze SmartFinancial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SmartFinancial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SmartFinancial on the next trading day is expected to be 40.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 0.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SmartFinancial Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SmartFinancial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SmartFinancial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SmartFinancial | SmartFinancial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SmartFinancial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SmartFinancial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SmartFinancial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.90 and 41.97, respectively. We have considered SmartFinancial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SmartFinancial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SmartFinancial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8019 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7254 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0193 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.2469 |
Predictive Modules for SmartFinancial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SmartFinancial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SmartFinancial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SmartFinancial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SmartFinancial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SmartFinancial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SmartFinancial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SmartFinancial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SmartFinancial's historical news coverage. SmartFinancial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.05 and 41.13, respectively. We have considered SmartFinancial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SmartFinancial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SmartFinancial is based on 3 months time horizon.
SmartFinancial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SmartFinancial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SmartFinancial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SmartFinancial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.59 | 39.59 | 0.00 |
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SmartFinancial Hype Timeline
SmartFinancial is at this time traded for 39.59. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SmartFinancial is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on SmartFinancial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.59. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SmartFinancial last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2025. The entity had 1:4 split on the 23rd of September 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SmartFinancial to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy SmartFinancial Stock please use our How to buy in SmartFinancial Stock guide.SmartFinancial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SmartFinancial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SmartFinancial's future price movements. Getting to know how SmartFinancial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SmartFinancial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCBC | First Community Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.04 | 3.86 | (2.14) | 9.31 | |
| SPFI | South Plains Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.09 | 2.82 | (2.20) | 9.14 | |
| BWB | Bridgewater Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | 0.12 | 3.22 | (1.96) | 9.97 | |
| BCAL | Southern California Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.84 | (1.97) | 5.74 | |
| SMBC | Southern Missouri Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.22 | 0.14 | 3.00 | (1.77) | 10.20 | |
| THFF | First Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.13 | 3.55 | (1.53) | 10.39 | |
| IBCP | Independent Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.10 | 2.57 | (1.92) | 7.82 | |
| GSBC | Great Southern Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.04 | 2.88 | (2.01) | 14.35 | |
| NBBK | NB Bancorp Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0.16 | 2.93 | (1.83) | 6.22 | |
| HTBK | Heritage Commerce Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.18 | 2.85 | (2.06) | 9.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for SmartFinancial
For every potential investor in SmartFinancial, whether a beginner or expert, SmartFinancial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SmartFinancial Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SmartFinancial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SmartFinancial's price trends.SmartFinancial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SmartFinancial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SmartFinancial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SmartFinancial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SmartFinancial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SmartFinancial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SmartFinancial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SmartFinancial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SmartFinancial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SmartFinancial Risk Indicators
The analysis of SmartFinancial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SmartFinancial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smartfinancial stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SmartFinancial
The number of cover stories for SmartFinancial depends on current market conditions and SmartFinancial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SmartFinancial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SmartFinancial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SmartFinancial Short Properties
SmartFinancial's future price predictability will typically decrease when SmartFinancial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SmartFinancial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SmartFinancial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SmartFinancial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SmartFinancial to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy SmartFinancial Stock please use our How to buy in SmartFinancial Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SmartFinancial. If investors know SmartFinancial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive SmartFinancial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
SmartFinancial's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on SmartFinancial's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate SmartFinancial's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since SmartFinancial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SmartFinancial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SmartFinancial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SmartFinancial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.