Siltronic Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Siltronic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Siltronic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Siltronic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Siltronic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Siltronic is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Siltronic AG value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Siltronic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Siltronic AG on the next trading day is expected to be 68.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84, mean absolute percentage error of 1.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.48.

Siltronic Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Siltronic pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Siltronic pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Siltronic AG. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Siltronic. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Siltronic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siltronic AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 54.96 57.34 70.43 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 57.40 59.77 70.43 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 50.99 57.70 64.41 Details

Siltronic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Siltronic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Siltronic Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Siltronic Hype Timeline

Siltronic AG is at this time traded for 64.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Siltronic is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 57.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -10.45%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Siltronic is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.03. About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.36. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Siltronic AG recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.16. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Siltronic to cross-verify your projections.

Siltronic Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Siltronic

For every potential investor in Siltronic, whether a beginner or expert, Siltronic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Siltronic Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Siltronic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Siltronic's price trends.

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