Stanley Electric Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

STAEY Stock  USD 11.20  0.00  0.00%   
Stanley Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Stanley Electric's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Stanley Electric's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Stanley Electric Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Stanley Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stanley Electric Co from the perspective of Stanley Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stanley Electric Co on the next trading day is expected to be 11.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Stanley Electric after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stanley Electric to cross-verify your projections.

Stanley Electric Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Stanley price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stanley using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stanley charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Stanley Electric is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Stanley Electric Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Stanley Electric Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Stanley Electric Co on the next trading day is expected to be 11.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stanley Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stanley Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stanley Electric Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Stanley Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Stanley Electric's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stanley Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.20 and 11.20, respectively. We have considered Stanley Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.20
11.20
Expected Value
11.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stanley Electric pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stanley Electric pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria53.952
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Stanley Electric Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Stanley Electric. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Stanley Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stanley Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stanley Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2011.2011.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2011.2011.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.2011.2011.20
Details

Stanley Electric After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Stanley Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stanley Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Stanley Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Stanley Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Stanley Electric's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stanley Electric's historical news coverage. Stanley Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.20 and 11.20, respectively. We have considered Stanley Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.20
11.20
After-hype Price
11.20
Upside
Stanley Electric is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stanley Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.

Stanley Electric Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stanley Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stanley Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stanley Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.20
11.20
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Stanley Electric Hype Timeline

Stanley Electric is at this time traded for 11.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Stanley is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Stanley Electric is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.20. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Stanley Electric last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stanley Electric to cross-verify your projections.

Stanley Electric Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Stanley Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stanley Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Stanley Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stanley Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TGOSYToyoda Gosei Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
KOTMFKoito Manufacturing Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BRBOFBrembo SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.19  0.00  29.81 
SMTUFSumitomo Rubber Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NPSKYNSK Ltd ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.19  6.23 (1.81) 17.85 
VLEEFValeo SE 1.61 48 per month 1.81  0.06  6.00 (3.90) 16.78 
MBUMYMabuchi Motor Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  5.00 (1.54) 17.43 
JFROFJ Front Retailing 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JTEKFJTEKT 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LIMAFLinamar 0.20 54 per month 0.74  0.19  4.93 (1.31) 9.82 

Other Forecasting Options for Stanley Electric

For every potential investor in Stanley, whether a beginner or expert, Stanley Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stanley Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stanley. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stanley Electric's price trends.

Stanley Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stanley Electric pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stanley Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stanley Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stanley Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stanley Electric pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stanley Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stanley Electric pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Stanley Electric Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Stanley Electric

The number of cover stories for Stanley Electric depends on current market conditions and Stanley Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stanley Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stanley Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Stanley Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Stanley Electric's price analysis, check to measure Stanley Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stanley Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Stanley Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stanley Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stanley Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stanley Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.