Sweco AB Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| SWEC-B Stock | SEK 147.10 1.80 1.24% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sweco AB on the next trading day is expected to be 147.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.50. Sweco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sweco AB stock prices and determine the direction of Sweco AB's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sweco AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Sweco AB's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sweco AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sweco AB from the perspective of Sweco AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sweco AB on the next trading day is expected to be 147.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.50. Sweco AB after-hype prediction price | SEK 147.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sweco |
Sweco AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sweco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sweco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sweco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sweco AB Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sweco AB on the next trading day is expected to be 147.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31, mean absolute percentage error of 9.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 136.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sweco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sweco AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sweco AB Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sweco AB | Sweco AB Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sweco AB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sweco AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sweco AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 145.32 and 148.88, respectively. We have considered Sweco AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sweco AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sweco AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7323 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3034 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.3136 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 136.5 |
Predictive Modules for Sweco AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sweco AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sweco AB After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sweco AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sweco AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sweco AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sweco AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sweco AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sweco AB's historical news coverage. Sweco AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 145.32 and 148.88, respectively. We have considered Sweco AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sweco AB is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sweco AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sweco AB Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sweco AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sweco AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sweco AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
147.10 | 147.10 | 0.00 |
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Sweco AB Hype Timeline
Sweco AB is at this time traded for 147.10on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sweco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sweco AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 147.10. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Sweco AB was at this time reported as 27.72. The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of April 2022. Sweco AB had 3:1 split on the 10th of November 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sweco AB to cross-verify your projections.Sweco AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sweco AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sweco AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Sweco AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sweco AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NIBE-B | NIBE Industrier AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.28 | (2.92) | 16.42 | |
| SECU-B | Securitas AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.03 | 1.62 | (1.42) | 4.79 | |
| BEIJ-B | Beijer Ref AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.36 | (3.00) | 8.35 | |
| AFRY | Afry AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.35 | (2.80) | 7.08 | |
| MYCR | Mycronic publ AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.23 | (3.08) | 11.03 | |
| PEAB-B | Peab AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.1 | 2.77 | (1.82) | 6.51 | |
| SKA-B | Skanska AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | (0.03) | 2.18 | (2.77) | 6.44 | |
| INSTAL | Instalco Intressenter AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.17 | (2.95) | 9.70 | |
| ADDT-B | Addtech AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.97 | (2.86) | 10.17 | |
| NCC-B | NCC AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | (0) | 2.71 | (1.83) | 6.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sweco AB
For every potential investor in Sweco, whether a beginner or expert, Sweco AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sweco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sweco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sweco AB's price trends.Sweco AB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sweco AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sweco AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sweco AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sweco AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sweco AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sweco AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sweco AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sweco AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sweco AB Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sweco AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sweco AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sweco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Variance | 2.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sweco AB
The number of cover stories for Sweco AB depends on current market conditions and Sweco AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sweco AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sweco AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sweco AB Short Properties
Sweco AB's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sweco AB's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sweco AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sweco AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sweco AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 361.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 896 M |
Other Information on Investing in Sweco Stock
Sweco AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sweco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sweco with respect to the benefits of owning Sweco AB security.