Terna Energy Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| TENERGY Stock | EUR 18.33 0.09 0.49% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Terna Energy Societe on the next trading day is expected to be 17.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.25. Terna Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Terna Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Terna Energy Societe's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Terna Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terna Energy to cross-verify your projections. Terna |
Most investors in Terna Energy cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Terna Energy's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Terna Energy's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Terna Energy polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Terna Energy Societe as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices. Terna Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Terna Energy Societe on the next trading day is expected to be 17.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Terna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Terna Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Terna Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
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Terna Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Terna Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Terna Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.15 and 19.78, respectively. We have considered Terna Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Terna Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Terna Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8051 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2335 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0137 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.2464 |
Predictive Modules for Terna Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terna Energy Societe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Terna Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Terna Energy
For every potential investor in Terna, whether a beginner or expert, Terna Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Terna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Terna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Terna Energy's price trends.Terna Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Terna Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Terna Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Terna Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Terna Energy Societe Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Terna Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Terna Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Terna Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Terna Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Terna Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Terna Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Terna Energy Societe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Terna Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Terna Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Terna Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting terna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Variance | 3.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Terna Energy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Terna Energy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Terna Energy options trading.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terna Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Terna Stock analysis
When running Terna Energy's price analysis, check to measure Terna Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Terna Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Terna Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Terna Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Terna Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Terna Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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