Tele2 AB Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TLTZF Stock | USD 16.81 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tele2 AB on the next trading day is expected to be 16.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.05. Tele2 Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tele2 AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Tele2 AB's share price is above 70 as of 22nd of January 2026. This usually implies that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Tele2, making its price go up or down. Momentum 77
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Tele2 AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tele2 AB from the perspective of Tele2 AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tele2 AB on the next trading day is expected to be 16.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.05. Tele2 AB after-hype prediction price | USD 16.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tele2 |
Tele2 AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tele2 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tele2 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tele2 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tele2 AB Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tele2 AB on the next trading day is expected to be 16.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tele2 Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tele2 AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tele2 AB Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tele2 AB | Tele2 AB Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tele2 AB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tele2 AB's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tele2 AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.20 and 17.13, respectively. We have considered Tele2 AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tele2 AB pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tele2 AB pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.0509 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.05 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.003 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.0512 |
Predictive Modules for Tele2 AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tele2 AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tele2 AB After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tele2 AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tele2 AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Tele2 AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tele2 AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tele2 AB's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tele2 AB's historical news coverage. Tele2 AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.35 and 17.27, respectively. We have considered Tele2 AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tele2 AB is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tele2 AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tele2 AB Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tele2 AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tele2 AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tele2 AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.81 | 16.81 | 0.00 |
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Tele2 AB Hype Timeline
Tele2 AB is at this time traded for 16.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tele2 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tele2 AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.81. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Tele2 AB was at this time reported as 3.81. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of October 2022. Tele2 AB had 1182:1139 split on the 28th of October 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tele2 AB to cross-verify your projections.Tele2 AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tele2 AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tele2 AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Tele2 AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tele2 AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BECEF | BCE Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.58) | 0.44 | 0.00 | 1.03 | |
| TLSNF | Telia Company AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 6.20 | |
| ELMUF | Elisa Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VODAF | Vodacom Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BCEPF | BCE Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 5.04 | |
| TLSNY | Telia Company AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | 0.10 | 2.05 | (1.40) | 4.65 | |
| TIAOF | Telecom Italia SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.87 | |
| AAFRF | Airtel Africa Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.21 | 5.39 | (3.98) | 26.15 | |
| BCEXF | BCE Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.52 | |
| TKCOF | Toho Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tele2 AB
For every potential investor in Tele2, whether a beginner or expert, Tele2 AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tele2 Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tele2. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tele2 AB's price trends.Tele2 AB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tele2 AB pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tele2 AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tele2 AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tele2 AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tele2 AB pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tele2 AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tele2 AB pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Tele2 AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tele2 AB Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tele2 AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tele2 AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tele2 pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1328 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4628 | |||
| Variance | 0.2141 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tele2 AB
The number of cover stories for Tele2 AB depends on current market conditions and Tele2 AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tele2 AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tele2 AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Tele2 Pink Sheet
Tele2 AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tele2 Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tele2 with respect to the benefits of owning Tele2 AB security.