Terravest Capital Stock Forward View

TVK Stock  CAD 142.18  0.49  0.35%   
Terravest Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Terravest Capital's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Terravest Capital's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Terravest Capital fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Terravest Capital's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Terravest Capital, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Terravest Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Terravest Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Terravest Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.408
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.64
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.24
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.64
Wall Street Target Price
187.1667
Using Terravest Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Terravest Capital from the perspective of Terravest Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Terravest Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 141.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 226.14.

Terravest Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 142.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terravest Capital to cross-verify your projections.

Terravest Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Terravest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Terravest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Terravest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Terravest Capital is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Terravest Capital value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Terravest Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Terravest Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 141.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.65, mean absolute percentage error of 26.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 226.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Terravest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Terravest Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Terravest Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Terravest Capital  Terravest Capital Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Terravest Capital Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Terravest Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Terravest Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 137.61 and 144.78, respectively. We have considered Terravest Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
142.18
137.61
Downside
141.20
Expected Value
144.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Terravest Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Terravest Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.2211
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.6475
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0254
SAESum of the absolute errors226.1441
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Terravest Capital. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Terravest Capital. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Terravest Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terravest Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
138.59142.18145.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
140.39143.98147.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
138.90158.82178.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.330.330.33
Details

Terravest Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Terravest Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Terravest Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Terravest Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Terravest Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Terravest Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Terravest Capital's historical news coverage. Terravest Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 138.59 and 145.77, respectively. We have considered Terravest Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
142.18
138.59
Downside
142.18
After-hype Price
145.77
Upside
Terravest Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Terravest Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Terravest Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Terravest Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Terravest Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Terravest Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
3.58
  3.52 
  0.01 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
142.18
142.18
0.00 
20.36  
Notes

Terravest Capital Hype Timeline

Terravest Capital is at this time traded for 142.18on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Terravest is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 20.36%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Terravest Capital is about 9675.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 142.19. About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Terravest Capital was at this time reported as 33.3. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Terravest Capital had 1:6 split on the 9th of July 2004. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terravest Capital to cross-verify your projections.

Terravest Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Terravest Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Terravest Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Terravest Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Terravest Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EFXEnerflex 0.39 9 per month 1.66  0.20  4.15 (2.90) 10.61 
IPCOInternational Petroleum Corp 0.04 3 per month 1.88  0.15  5.33 (3.49) 13.04 
TWMTidewater Midstream and 0.20 4 per month 2.67  0  5.42 (4.35) 14.54 
BTEBaytex Energy Corp 0.04 2 per month 1.93  0.19  4.58 (3.39) 19.59 
CEUCES Energy Solutions(0.06)7 per month 1.24  0.22  4.32 (2.96) 21.05 
TVETamarack Valley Energy 0.05 7 per month 1.62  0.28  3.74 (2.63) 8.73 
FRUFreehold Royalties(0.23)9 per month 0.87  0.20  2.22 (1.65) 6.50 
NVANuVista Energy 0.02 8 per month 0.89  0.14  2.21 (1.70) 6.79 
POUParamount Resources(0.05)8 per month 1.82  0.08  2.54 (3.12) 7.94 
AAVAdvantage Oil Gas(0.03)5 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.57 (2.56) 8.25 

Other Forecasting Options for Terravest Capital

For every potential investor in Terravest, whether a beginner or expert, Terravest Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Terravest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Terravest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Terravest Capital's price trends.

Terravest Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Terravest Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Terravest Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Terravest Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Terravest Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Terravest Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Terravest Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Terravest Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Terravest Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Terravest Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Terravest Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Terravest Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting terravest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Terravest Capital

The number of cover stories for Terravest Capital depends on current market conditions and Terravest Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Terravest Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Terravest Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Terravest Capital Short Properties

Terravest Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Terravest Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Terravest Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Terravest Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Terravest Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.9 M

Other Information on Investing in Terravest Stock

Terravest Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Terravest Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Terravest with respect to the benefits of owning Terravest Capital security.