Eureka Design Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

UREKA Stock  THB 0.55  0.01  1.85%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Eureka Design Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.55 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.02  and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.09. Eureka Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eureka Design stock prices and determine the direction of Eureka Design Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eureka Design's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eureka Design to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Eureka Design cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Eureka Design's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Eureka Design's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Eureka Design polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Eureka Design Public as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Eureka Design Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Eureka Design Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eureka Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eureka Design's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eureka Design Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Eureka DesignEureka Design Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Eureka Design Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eureka Design's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eureka Design's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.84, respectively. We have considered Eureka Design's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.55
0.55
Expected Value
3.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eureka Design stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eureka Design stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4595
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0177
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.029
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0944
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Eureka Design historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Eureka Design

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eureka Design Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eureka Design's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.553.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.493.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eureka Design. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eureka Design's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eureka Design's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eureka Design Public.

Other Forecasting Options for Eureka Design

For every potential investor in Eureka, whether a beginner or expert, Eureka Design's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eureka Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eureka. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eureka Design's price trends.

Eureka Design Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eureka Design stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eureka Design could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eureka Design by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eureka Design Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Eureka Design's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Eureka Design's current price.

Eureka Design Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eureka Design stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eureka Design shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eureka Design stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eureka Design Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eureka Design Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eureka Design's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eureka Design's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eureka stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Eureka Design in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Eureka Design's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Eureka Design options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eureka Design to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Eureka Design Public information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Eureka Design's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Eureka Stock analysis

When running Eureka Design's price analysis, check to measure Eureka Design's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eureka Design is operating at the current time. Most of Eureka Design's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eureka Design's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eureka Design's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eureka Design to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Eureka Design's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eureka Design is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eureka Design's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.