Volkswagen Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| VLKAF Stock | USD 118.17 1.04 0.87% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Volkswagen AG on the next trading day is expected to be 118.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.10. Volkswagen Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Volkswagen's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Volkswagen's share price is below 20 . This entails that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Volkswagen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Volkswagen AG from the perspective of Volkswagen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Volkswagen AG on the next trading day is expected to be 118.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.10. Volkswagen after-hype prediction price | USD 118.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Volkswagen |
Volkswagen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Volkswagen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Volkswagen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Volkswagen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Volkswagen Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Volkswagen AG on the next trading day is expected to be 118.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.02, mean absolute percentage error of 6.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Volkswagen Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Volkswagen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Volkswagen Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Volkswagen | Volkswagen Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Volkswagen Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Volkswagen's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Volkswagen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 115.80 and 120.54, respectively. We have considered Volkswagen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Volkswagen pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Volkswagen pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.1426 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3126 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0183 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0174 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 121.095 |
Predictive Modules for Volkswagen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Volkswagen AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Volkswagen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Volkswagen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Volkswagen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Volkswagen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Volkswagen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Volkswagen's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Volkswagen's historical news coverage. Volkswagen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 115.88 and 120.62, respectively. We have considered Volkswagen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Volkswagen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Volkswagen AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Volkswagen Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Volkswagen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Volkswagen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Volkswagen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.37 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 6 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
118.17 | 118.25 | 0.07 |
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Volkswagen Hype Timeline
Volkswagen AG is at this time traded for 118.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Volkswagen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 118.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Volkswagen is about 1144.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 118.21. The company reported the revenue of 250.2 B. Net Income was 15.38 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 44.52 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Volkswagen to cross-verify your projections.Volkswagen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Volkswagen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Volkswagen's future price movements. Getting to know how Volkswagen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Volkswagen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BYMOF | Bayerische Motoren Werke | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.04 | |
| BAMXF | Bayerische Motoren Werke | 0.39 | 15 per month | 1.83 | 0.05 | 4.86 | (4.58) | 14.89 | |
| MBGYY | Mercedes Benz Group AG | 0.39 | 14 per month | 1.34 | 0.03 | 3.86 | (2.45) | 7.32 | |
| MBGAF | Mercedes Benz Group AG | 0.39 | 3 per month | 1.35 | 0.05 | 3.17 | (2.62) | 7.89 | |
| DRPRF | Dr Ing hc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | (0.04) | 3.32 | (4.48) | 15.07 | |
| HNDAF | Honda Motor Co | 0.39 | 3 per month | 2.84 | (0.01) | 7.72 | (6.04) | 20.53 | |
| DRPRY | Dr Ing hc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | (0.04) | 3.71 | (2.98) | 9.35 | |
| MAHMF | Mahindra Mahindra Limited | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.83 | (2.10) | 13.07 | |
| CMPGF | Compass Group PLC | 0.39 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.46 | (3.46) | 9.79 | |
| CMPGY | Compass Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 1.79 | (1.66) | 5.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Volkswagen
For every potential investor in Volkswagen, whether a beginner or expert, Volkswagen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Volkswagen Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Volkswagen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Volkswagen's price trends.Volkswagen Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Volkswagen pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Volkswagen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Volkswagen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Volkswagen Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Volkswagen pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Volkswagen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Volkswagen pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Volkswagen AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 118.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 118.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.52) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.04) |
Volkswagen Risk Indicators
The analysis of Volkswagen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Volkswagen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting volkswagen pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Variance | 5.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Volkswagen
The number of cover stories for Volkswagen depends on current market conditions and Volkswagen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Volkswagen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Volkswagen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Volkswagen Pink Sheet
Volkswagen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Volkswagen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Volkswagen with respect to the benefits of owning Volkswagen security.