Western Midstream Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| WES Stock | USD 40.74 0.09 0.22% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Western Midstream Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 40.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.54. Western Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of Western Midstream's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.176 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9122 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4312 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.7049 | Wall Street Target Price 41.75 |
Using Western Midstream hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Western Midstream Partners from the perspective of Western Midstream response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Western Midstream using Western Midstream's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Western using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Western Midstream's stock price.
Western Midstream Short Interest
An investor who is long Western Midstream may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Western Midstream and may potentially protect profits, hedge Western Midstream with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 38.7285 | Short Percent 0.0247 | Short Ratio 4.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.5 M | 50 Day MA 39.6084 |
Western Midstream Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Western Midstream's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Western. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Western can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Western Midstream Partners. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Western Midstream Implied Volatility | 0.29 |
Western Midstream's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Western Midstream Partners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Western Midstream's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Western Midstream stock will not fluctuate a lot when Western Midstream's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Western Midstream Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 40.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.54. Western Midstream after-hype prediction price | USD 40.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Western Midstream to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Western contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Western Midstream Partners will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0181% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Western Midstream trading at USD 40.74, that is roughly USD 0.007384 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Western Midstream's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Western Midstream Partners options at the current volatility level of 0.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Western Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Western Midstream's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Western Midstream's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Western Midstream stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Western Midstream's open interest, investors have to compare it to Western Midstream's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Western Midstream is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Western. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Western Midstream Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Western price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Western using various technical indicators. When you analyze Western charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Western Midstream Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Western Midstream Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 40.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Western Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Western Midstream's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Western Midstream Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Western Midstream | Western Midstream Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Western Midstream Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Western Midstream's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Western Midstream's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.70 and 41.78, respectively. We have considered Western Midstream's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Western Midstream stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Western Midstream stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.342 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0492 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3039 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0077 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.54 |
Predictive Modules for Western Midstream
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Western Midstream. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Western Midstream's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Western Midstream After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Western Midstream at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Western Midstream or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Western Midstream, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Western Midstream Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Western Midstream's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Western Midstream's historical news coverage. Western Midstream's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.67 and 41.77, respectively. We have considered Western Midstream's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Western Midstream is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Western Midstream is based on 3 months time horizon.
Western Midstream Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Western Midstream is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Western Midstream backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Western Midstream, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.05 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.74 | 40.72 | 0.05 |
|
Western Midstream Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Western Midstream is traded for 40.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Western is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Western Midstream is about 1296.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.73. About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of October 2025. Western Midstream had 10:9 split on the 26th of November 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Western Midstream to cross-verify your projections.Western Midstream Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Western Midstream's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Western Midstream's future price movements. Getting to know how Western Midstream's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Western Midstream may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VNOM | Viper Energy Ut | (0.98) | 9 per month | 1.66 | 0.04 | 2.90 | (2.74) | 10.04 | |
| YPF | YPF Sociedad Anonima | (0.47) | 17 per month | 1.60 | 0.15 | 4.55 | (3.54) | 29.25 | |
| PAA | Plains All American | (0.14) | 13 per month | 0.48 | 0.24 | 1.84 | (1.26) | 4.09 | |
| DTM | DT Midstream | 1.61 | 7 per month | 0.87 | 0.09 | 2.33 | (1.80) | 5.22 | |
| HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.05 | 1.75 | (1.77) | 5.00 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.09 | (0.02) | 1.86 | (1.89) | 5.89 | |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy | 0.06 | 3 per month | 1.54 | 0.11 | 2.45 | (2.90) | 9.69 | |
| NXT | Nextracker Class A | 0.06 | 6 per month | 3.33 | 0.06 | 6.51 | (5.52) | 20.86 | |
| VG | Venture Global | (0.08) | 9 per month | 4.13 | 0.03 | 6.78 | (7.80) | 17.61 | |
| FTI | TechnipFMC PLC | (0.93) | 16 per month | 1.02 | 0.27 | 3.59 | (1.94) | 14.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Western Midstream
For every potential investor in Western, whether a beginner or expert, Western Midstream's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Western Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Western. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Western Midstream's price trends.Western Midstream Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Western Midstream stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Western Midstream could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Western Midstream by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Western Midstream Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Western Midstream stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Western Midstream shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Western Midstream stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Western Midstream Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15347.65 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.14) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 40.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 40.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.29) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) |
Western Midstream Risk Indicators
The analysis of Western Midstream's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Western Midstream's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting western stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8202 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8533 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Variance | 1.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7282 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Western Midstream
The number of cover stories for Western Midstream depends on current market conditions and Western Midstream's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Western Midstream is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Western Midstream's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Western Midstream Short Properties
Western Midstream's future price predictability will typically decrease when Western Midstream's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Western Midstream Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Western Midstream's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Western Midstream's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 382.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Additional Tools for Western Stock Analysis
When running Western Midstream's price analysis, check to measure Western Midstream's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Western Midstream is operating at the current time. Most of Western Midstream's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Western Midstream's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Western Midstream's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Western Midstream to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.