Youxin Technology Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| YAAS Stock | 1.58 0.03 1.94% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Youxin Technology Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 1.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.99. Youxin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Youxin Technology's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.212 |
Using Youxin Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Youxin Technology Ltd from the perspective of Youxin Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Youxin Technology Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 1.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.99. Youxin Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 1.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Youxin Technology to cross-verify your projections. Youxin Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Youxin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Youxin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Youxin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Youxin Technology's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 16.5 K | Current Value 15.7 K | Quarterly Volatility 3.3 M |
Youxin Technology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Youxin Technology Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 1.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Youxin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Youxin Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Youxin Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Youxin Technology | Youxin Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Youxin Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Youxin Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Youxin Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.32, respectively. We have considered Youxin Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Youxin Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Youxin Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6572 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0804 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0463 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.9872 |
Predictive Modules for Youxin Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Youxin Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Youxin Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Youxin Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Youxin Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Youxin Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Youxin Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Youxin Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Youxin Technology's historical news coverage. Youxin Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 8.26, respectively. We have considered Youxin Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Youxin Technology is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Youxin Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Youxin Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Youxin Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Youxin Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Youxin Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 6.66 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.58 | 1.60 | 1.27 |
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Youxin Technology Hype Timeline
Youxin Technology is at this time traded for 1.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Youxin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 1.27%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Youxin Technology is about 7318.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.53. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 521.24 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 277.47 K. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Youxin Technology to cross-verify your projections.Youxin Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Youxin Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Youxin Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Youxin Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Youxin Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMOD | Alpha Modus Holdings | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.01 | (8.77) | 41.10 | |
| MYSE | Myseum | (0.17) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 9.33 | (8.29) | 25.91 | |
| GMTH | GMTech Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 23.13 | 0.11 | 90.68 | (36.45) | 186.45 | |
| CETX | Cemtrex | (0.27) | 10 per month | 11.01 | (0) | 15.44 | (18.92) | 165.95 | |
| DTST | Data Storage Corp | 0.14 | 8 per month | 2.58 | (0.01) | 3.55 | (2.91) | 24.27 | |
| GDEV | GDEV Inc | 0.03 | 19 per month | 5.34 | 0.01 | 12.02 | (10.28) | 58.11 | |
| AUUD | Auddia Inc | (0.44) | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 15.15 | (12.93) | 36.34 | |
| SYTA | SYTA Old | (0.14) | 8 per month | 4.11 | 0.12 | 15.38 | (8.27) | 296.98 | |
| VS | Versus Systems | (0.06) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 5.67 | (7.19) | 21.78 | |
| MSAI | Infrared Cameras Holdings | (0.01) | 8 per month | 12.30 | 0.04 | 22.58 | (19.79) | 133.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for Youxin Technology
For every potential investor in Youxin, whether a beginner or expert, Youxin Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Youxin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Youxin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Youxin Technology's price trends.Youxin Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Youxin Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Youxin Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Youxin Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Youxin Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Youxin Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Youxin Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Youxin Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Youxin Technology Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1010.11 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.375 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.59 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.59 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
Youxin Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Youxin Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Youxin Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting youxin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.48 | |||
| Variance | 41.96 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Youxin Technology
The number of cover stories for Youxin Technology depends on current market conditions and Youxin Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Youxin Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Youxin Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Youxin Technology Short Properties
Youxin Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Youxin Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Youxin Technology Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Youxin Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Youxin Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 391.7 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.4 K |
Additional Tools for Youxin Stock Analysis
When running Youxin Technology's price analysis, check to measure Youxin Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Youxin Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Youxin Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Youxin Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Youxin Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Youxin Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.