Edgewater Wireless Stock Forward View

YFI Stock  CAD 0.04  0.01  10.00%   
Edgewater Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Edgewater Wireless' share price is approaching 44. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Edgewater Wireless, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 44

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Edgewater Wireless' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Edgewater Wireless and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Edgewater Wireless' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Edgewater Wireless Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Edgewater Wireless' stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
1.25
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(1.00)
Using Edgewater Wireless hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Edgewater Wireless Systems from the perspective of Edgewater Wireless response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Edgewater Wireless Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.

Edgewater Wireless after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 0.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Edgewater Wireless to cross-verify your projections.

Edgewater Wireless Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Edgewater price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Edgewater using various technical indicators. When you analyze Edgewater charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Edgewater Wireless is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Edgewater Wireless Systems value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Edgewater Wireless Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Edgewater Wireless Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000878, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Edgewater Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Edgewater Wireless' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Edgewater Wireless Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Edgewater Wireless  Edgewater Wireless Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Edgewater Wireless Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Edgewater Wireless' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Edgewater Wireless' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered Edgewater Wireless' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.04
Expected Value
8.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Edgewater Wireless stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Edgewater Wireless stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.4677
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0019
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0408
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1148
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Edgewater Wireless Systems. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Edgewater Wireless. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Edgewater Wireless

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edgewater Wireless. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.058.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.048.27
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Edgewater Wireless After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Edgewater Wireless at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Edgewater Wireless or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Edgewater Wireless, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Edgewater Wireless Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Edgewater Wireless' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Edgewater Wireless' historical news coverage. Edgewater Wireless' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.28, respectively. We have considered Edgewater Wireless' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.04
0.05
After-hype Price
8.28
Upside
Edgewater Wireless is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Edgewater Wireless is based on 3 months time horizon.

Edgewater Wireless Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Edgewater Wireless is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Edgewater Wireless backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Edgewater Wireless, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
8.23
 0.00  
 0.00  
5 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.04
0.05
11.11 
0.00  
Notes

Edgewater Wireless Hype Timeline

Edgewater Wireless is at this time traded for 0.04on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Edgewater is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 11.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Edgewater Wireless is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.05. Edgewater Wireless Systems has accumulated 419.76 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 487.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Edgewater Wireless has a current ratio of 0.57, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Edgewater Wireless until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Edgewater Wireless' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Edgewater Wireless sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Edgewater to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Edgewater Wireless' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Edgewater Wireless to cross-verify your projections.

Edgewater Wireless Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Edgewater Wireless' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Edgewater Wireless' future price movements. Getting to know how Edgewater Wireless' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Edgewater Wireless may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NVINovra Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 8.33 (7.69) 34.31 
TBIXTrustBIX 0.00 0 per month 7.93  0.02  25.00 (20.00) 65.00 
FTECFintech Select 0.00 0 per month 6.31  0.13  25.00 (12.50) 58.33 
ZUAG-UBMO Aggregate Bond 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 0.26 (0.23) 1.71 
XHBiShares Canadian HYBrid 0.00 0 per month 0.15 (0.26) 0.25 (0.25) 0.85 
EDGFBrompton European Dividend 0.00 0 per month 0.55  0.02  1.27 (1.07) 3.96 
SOLRSolar Alliance Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  83.33 
ERE-UNEuropean Residential Real 0.00 0 per month 0.72  0.07  1.82 (1.80) 4.43 
BN-PFIBrookfield 0.00 0 per month 0.28 (0.08) 0.59 (0.60) 1.58 
XEGiShares SPTSX Capped 0.00 0 per month 1.14  0.17  2.22 (1.49) 5.88 

Other Forecasting Options for Edgewater Wireless

For every potential investor in Edgewater, whether a beginner or expert, Edgewater Wireless' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Edgewater Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Edgewater. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Edgewater Wireless' price trends.

Edgewater Wireless Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Edgewater Wireless stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Edgewater Wireless could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Edgewater Wireless by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Edgewater Wireless Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Edgewater Wireless stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Edgewater Wireless shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Edgewater Wireless stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Edgewater Wireless Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Edgewater Wireless Risk Indicators

The analysis of Edgewater Wireless' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Edgewater Wireless' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting edgewater stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Edgewater Wireless

The number of cover stories for Edgewater Wireless depends on current market conditions and Edgewater Wireless' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Edgewater Wireless is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Edgewater Wireless' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Edgewater Stock Analysis

When running Edgewater Wireless' price analysis, check to measure Edgewater Wireless' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Edgewater Wireless is operating at the current time. Most of Edgewater Wireless' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Edgewater Wireless' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Edgewater Wireless' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Edgewater Wireless to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.