Tait Marketing (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.40

5902 Stock  TWD 33.40  0.20  0.60%   
Tait Marketing's future price is the expected price of Tait Marketing instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tait Marketing Distribution performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tait Marketing Backtesting, Tait Marketing Valuation, Tait Marketing Correlation, Tait Marketing Hype Analysis, Tait Marketing Volatility, Tait Marketing History as well as Tait Marketing Performance.
  
Please specify Tait Marketing's target price for which you would like Tait Marketing odds to be computed.

Tait Marketing Target Price Odds to finish over 33.40

The tendency of Tait Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33.40 90 days 33.40 
about 48.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tait Marketing to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.27 (This Tait Marketing Distribution probability density function shows the probability of Tait Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tait Marketing has a beta of 0.069. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tait Marketing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tait Marketing Distribution will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tait Marketing Distribution has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Tait Marketing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tait Marketing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tait Marketing Distr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tait Marketing's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.5033.4034.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.5033.4034.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.1333.0433.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.4333.0133.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tait Marketing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tait Marketing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tait Marketing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tait Marketing Distr.

Tait Marketing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tait Marketing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tait Marketing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tait Marketing Distribution, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tait Marketing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Tait Marketing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tait Marketing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tait Marketing Distr can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tait Marketing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tait Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tait Marketing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tait Marketing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding94.5 M

Tait Marketing Technical Analysis

Tait Marketing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tait Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tait Marketing Distribution. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tait Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tait Marketing Predictive Forecast Models

Tait Marketing's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tait Marketing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tait Marketing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tait Marketing Distr

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tait Marketing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tait Marketing Distr help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Check out Tait Marketing Backtesting, Tait Marketing Valuation, Tait Marketing Correlation, Tait Marketing Hype Analysis, Tait Marketing Volatility, Tait Marketing History as well as Tait Marketing Performance.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

Complementary Tools for Tait Stock analysis

When running Tait Marketing's price analysis, check to measure Tait Marketing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tait Marketing is operating at the current time. Most of Tait Marketing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tait Marketing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tait Marketing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tait Marketing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tait Marketing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tait Marketing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tait Marketing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.