Celik Halat (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.62
| CELHA Stock | TRY 33.30 0.06 0.18% |
Celik |
Celik Halat Target Price Odds to finish over 41.62
The tendency of Celik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 41.62 or more in 90 days |
| 33.30 | 90 days | 41.62 | about 12.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Celik Halat to move over 41.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.91 (This Celik Halat ve probability density function shows the probability of Celik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Celik Halat ve price to stay between its current price of 33.30 and 41.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Celik Halat ve has a beta of -0.45 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Celik Halat are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Celik Halat ve is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Celik Halat ve has an alpha of 0.5205, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Celik Halat Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Celik Halat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Celik Halat ve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Celik Halat's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Celik Halat Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Celik Halat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Celik Halat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Celik Halat ve, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Celik Halat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.52 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Celik Halat Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Celik Halat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Celik Halat ve can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Celik Halat ve had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 8.95 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.23, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Celik Halat ve has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Celik Halat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Celik Halat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Celik Halat ve sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Celik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Celik Halat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Celik Halat ve has accumulated about 42.32 M in cash with (38.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of Celik Halat shares are held by company insiders |
Celik Halat Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Celik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Celik Halat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Celik Halat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.5 M |
Celik Halat Technical Analysis
Celik Halat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Celik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Celik Halat ve. In general, you should focus on analyzing Celik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Celik Halat Predictive Forecast Models
Celik Halat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Celik Halat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Celik Halat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Celik Halat ve
Checking the ongoing alerts about Celik Halat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Celik Halat ve help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Celik Halat ve had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 8.95 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.23, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Celik Halat ve has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Celik Halat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Celik Halat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Celik Halat ve sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Celik to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Celik Halat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Celik Halat ve has accumulated about 42.32 M in cash with (38.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02. | |
| Roughly 70.0% of Celik Halat shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Celik Halat Backtesting, Celik Halat Valuation, Celik Halat Correlation, Celik Halat Hype Analysis, Celik Halat Volatility, Celik Halat History as well as Celik Halat Performance. Note that the Celik Halat ve information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Celik Halat's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Celik Stock analysis
When running Celik Halat's price analysis, check to measure Celik Halat's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Celik Halat is operating at the current time. Most of Celik Halat's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Celik Halat's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Celik Halat's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Celik Halat to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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