Holland Colours (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 96.00

HOLCO Stock  EUR 96.00  1.00  1.05%   
Holland Colours' future price is the expected price of Holland Colours instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Holland Colours NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Holland Colours Backtesting, Holland Colours Valuation, Holland Colours Correlation, Holland Colours Hype Analysis, Holland Colours Volatility, Holland Colours History as well as Holland Colours Performance.
  
Please specify Holland Colours' target price for which you would like Holland Colours odds to be computed.

Holland Colours Target Price Odds to finish over 96.00

The tendency of Holland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 96.00 90 days 96.00 
about 20.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Holland Colours to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.58 (This Holland Colours NV probability density function shows the probability of Holland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Holland Colours has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Holland Colours average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Holland Colours NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Holland Colours NV has an alpha of 0.0795, implying that it can generate a 0.0795 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Holland Colours Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Holland Colours

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holland Colours NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Holland Colours' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.3696.0098.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.6379.27105.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.8398.47101.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
90.2096.26102.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Holland Colours. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Holland Colours' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Holland Colours' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Holland Colours NV.

Holland Colours Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Holland Colours is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Holland Colours' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Holland Colours NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Holland Colours within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.31
σ
Overall volatility
3.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Holland Colours Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Holland Colours for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Holland Colours NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Holland Colours Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Holland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Holland Colours' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Holland Colours' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding860.4 K
Cash And Short Term Investments17 M

Holland Colours Technical Analysis

Holland Colours' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Holland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Holland Colours NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Holland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Holland Colours Predictive Forecast Models

Holland Colours' time-series forecasting models is one of many Holland Colours' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Holland Colours' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Holland Colours NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Holland Colours for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Holland Colours NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Holland Colours Backtesting, Holland Colours Valuation, Holland Colours Correlation, Holland Colours Hype Analysis, Holland Colours Volatility, Holland Colours History as well as Holland Colours Performance.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Holland Stock analysis

When running Holland Colours' price analysis, check to measure Holland Colours' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Holland Colours is operating at the current time. Most of Holland Colours' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Holland Colours' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Holland Colours' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Holland Colours to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Holland Colours' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Holland Colours is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Holland Colours' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.