Immo Moury (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.40

IMMOU Stock  EUR 28.40  0.20  0.71%   
Immo Moury's future price is the expected price of Immo Moury instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Immo Moury SICAF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Immo Moury Backtesting, Immo Moury Valuation, Immo Moury Correlation, Immo Moury Hype Analysis, Immo Moury Volatility, Immo Moury History as well as Immo Moury Performance.
  
Please specify Immo Moury's target price for which you would like Immo Moury odds to be computed.

Immo Moury Target Price Odds to finish over 28.40

The tendency of Immo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.40 90 days 28.40 
about 75.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Immo Moury to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.94 (This Immo Moury SICAF probability density function shows the probability of Immo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Immo Moury SICAF has a beta of -0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Immo Moury are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Immo Moury SICAF is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Immo Moury SICAF has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Immo Moury Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Immo Moury

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Immo Moury SICAF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Immo Moury's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9228.4029.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8824.3631.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.1629.6431.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.2128.4929.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Immo Moury. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Immo Moury's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Immo Moury's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Immo Moury SICAF.

Immo Moury Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Immo Moury is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Immo Moury's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Immo Moury SICAF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Immo Moury within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Immo Moury Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Immo Moury for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Immo Moury SICAF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immo Moury SICAF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 35 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 18.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Immo Moury SICAF has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Immo Moury until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Immo Moury's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Immo Moury SICAF sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Immo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Immo Moury's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 66.0% of Immo Moury shares are held by company insiders

Immo Moury Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Immo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Immo Moury's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Immo Moury's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding462.1 K
Cash And Short Term Investments197 K

Immo Moury Technical Analysis

Immo Moury's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Immo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Immo Moury SICAF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Immo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Immo Moury Predictive Forecast Models

Immo Moury's time-series forecasting models is one of many Immo Moury's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Immo Moury's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Immo Moury SICAF

Checking the ongoing alerts about Immo Moury for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Immo Moury SICAF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Immo Moury SICAF generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 35 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 18.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Immo Moury SICAF has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Immo Moury until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Immo Moury's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Immo Moury SICAF sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Immo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Immo Moury's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 66.0% of Immo Moury shares are held by company insiders
Check out Immo Moury Backtesting, Immo Moury Valuation, Immo Moury Correlation, Immo Moury Hype Analysis, Immo Moury Volatility, Immo Moury History as well as Immo Moury Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for Immo Stock analysis

When running Immo Moury's price analysis, check to measure Immo Moury's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Immo Moury is operating at the current time. Most of Immo Moury's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Immo Moury's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Immo Moury's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Immo Moury to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Immo Moury's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Immo Moury is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Immo Moury's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.