Manila Broadcasting (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.10
| MBC Stock | 6.10 0.00 0.00% |
Manila |
Manila Broadcasting Target Price Odds to finish over 6.10
The tendency of Manila Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.10 | 90 days | 6.10 | about 79.34 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manila Broadcasting to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.34 (This Manila Broadcasting Co probability density function shows the probability of Manila Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Manila Broadcasting Co has a beta of -1.48. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Manila Broadcasting Co are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Manila Broadcasting is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Manila Broadcasting Co has an alpha of 0.3673, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Manila Broadcasting Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Manila Broadcasting
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manila Broadcasting. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Manila Broadcasting Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manila Broadcasting is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manila Broadcasting's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manila Broadcasting Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manila Broadcasting within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Manila Broadcasting Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manila Broadcasting for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manila Broadcasting can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Manila Broadcasting had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Manila Broadcasting Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manila Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manila Broadcasting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manila Broadcasting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 402.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 106.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 202.7 M |
Manila Broadcasting Technical Analysis
Manila Broadcasting's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manila Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manila Broadcasting Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manila Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Manila Broadcasting Predictive Forecast Models
Manila Broadcasting's time-series forecasting models is one of many Manila Broadcasting's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Manila Broadcasting's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Manila Broadcasting
Checking the ongoing alerts about Manila Broadcasting for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manila Broadcasting help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Manila Broadcasting had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Manila Stock
Manila Broadcasting financial ratios help investors to determine whether Manila Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Manila with respect to the benefits of owning Manila Broadcasting security.