Inspecs Group (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 42.00

SPEC Stock   42.00  1.60  3.67%   
Inspecs Group's future price is the expected price of Inspecs Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Inspecs Group plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Inspecs Group Backtesting, Inspecs Group Valuation, Inspecs Group Correlation, Inspecs Group Hype Analysis, Inspecs Group Volatility, Inspecs Group History as well as Inspecs Group Performance.
  
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Inspecs Group Target Price Odds to finish over 42.00

The tendency of Inspecs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 42.00 90 days 42.00 
about 81.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inspecs Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.45 (This Inspecs Group plc probability density function shows the probability of Inspecs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inspecs Group plc has a beta of -0.19. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Inspecs Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Inspecs Group plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Inspecs Group plc has an alpha of 0.0949, implying that it can generate a 0.0949 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Inspecs Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Inspecs Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inspecs Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.0342.0044.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.1037.0646.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.8138.7841.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.02-0.02-0.02
Details

Inspecs Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inspecs Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inspecs Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inspecs Group plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inspecs Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
3.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Inspecs Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inspecs Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inspecs Group plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inspecs Group plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 198.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.45 M.
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Inspecs Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inspecs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inspecs Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inspecs Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments24 M

Inspecs Group Technical Analysis

Inspecs Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inspecs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inspecs Group plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inspecs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Inspecs Group Predictive Forecast Models

Inspecs Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inspecs Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inspecs Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Inspecs Group plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Inspecs Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inspecs Group plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inspecs Group plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 198.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.45 M.
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for Inspecs Stock Analysis

When running Inspecs Group's price analysis, check to measure Inspecs Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inspecs Group is operating at the current time. Most of Inspecs Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inspecs Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inspecs Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inspecs Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.