Traffic Technologies (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.003
| TTI Stock | 0 0.00 0.00% |
Traffic |
Traffic Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 0.003
The tendency of Traffic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0 | about 45.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Traffic Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 45.15 (This Traffic Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Traffic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Traffic Technologies has a beta of -2.62. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Traffic Technologies are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Traffic Technologies is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Traffic Technologies has an alpha of 1.2868, implying that it can generate a 1.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Traffic Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Traffic Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Traffic Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Traffic Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Traffic Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Traffic Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Traffic Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Traffic Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0001 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Traffic Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Traffic Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Traffic Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Traffic Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Traffic Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Traffic Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 31.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.89 M. | |
| About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Traffic Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Traffic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Traffic Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Traffic Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 798.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 455 K |
Traffic Technologies Technical Analysis
Traffic Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Traffic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Traffic Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Traffic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Traffic Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Traffic Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Traffic Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Traffic Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Traffic Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Traffic Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Traffic Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Traffic Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Traffic Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Traffic Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 31.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.89 M. | |
| About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Traffic Stock Analysis
When running Traffic Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Traffic Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Traffic Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Traffic Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Traffic Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Traffic Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Traffic Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.