Vintcom Technology (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.34
| VCOM Stock | THB 3.34 0.04 1.18% |
Vintcom |
Vintcom Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 3.34
The tendency of Vintcom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.34 | 90 days | 3.34 | about 12.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vintcom Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.82 (This Vintcom Technology PCL probability density function shows the probability of Vintcom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vintcom Technology PCL has a beta of -0.33. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vintcom Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vintcom Technology PCL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vintcom Technology PCL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Vintcom Technology Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vintcom Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vintcom Technology PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vintcom Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vintcom Technology Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vintcom Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vintcom Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vintcom Technology PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vintcom Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0048 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Vintcom Technology Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vintcom Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vintcom Technology PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Vintcom Technology Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vintcom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vintcom Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vintcom Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 307 M |
Vintcom Technology Technical Analysis
Vintcom Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vintcom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vintcom Technology PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vintcom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vintcom Technology Predictive Forecast Models
Vintcom Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vintcom Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vintcom Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vintcom Technology PCL
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vintcom Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vintcom Technology PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Vintcom Technology Backtesting, Vintcom Technology Valuation, Vintcom Technology Correlation, Vintcom Technology Hype Analysis, Vintcom Technology Volatility, Vintcom Technology History as well as Vintcom Technology Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for Vintcom Stock analysis
When running Vintcom Technology's price analysis, check to measure Vintcom Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vintcom Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Vintcom Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vintcom Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vintcom Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vintcom Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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