Mercadolibre Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MELI Stock | USD 1,665 34.52 2.12% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding MercadoLibre is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides MercadoLibre buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MELI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of MercadoLibre's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting MercadoLibre's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.6 K | Target Price 1.6 K | Hype Value 1.6 K | Market Value 1.7 K | Naive Value 1.8 K |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell MercadoLibre given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards MercadoLibre. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for MercadoLibre, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
MercadoLibre |
Execute MercadoLibre Buy or Sell Advice
The MercadoLibre recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MercadoLibre. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MercadoLibre or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MercadoLibre's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
MercadoLibre Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| MercadoLibre generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MercadoLibre is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| MercadoLibre has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MercadoLibre Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why |
MercadoLibre Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of MercadoLibre's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MercadoLibre's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MercadoLibre daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MercadoLibre price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MercadoLibre returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MercadoLibre.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | -3.63 | Potential Upside | 3.09 | Standard Deviation | 2.36 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MercadoLibre historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
MercadoLibre Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as MercadoLibre is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MercadoLibre backward and forwards among themselves. MercadoLibre's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase MercadoLibre's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 680.9 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 539.1 K | Generation Investment Management Llp | 2023-12-31 | 428.4 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2023-12-31 | 408.9 K | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2023-12-31 | 404 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 378.4 K | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 374.8 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 357.1 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 352.8 K | Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. | 2023-12-31 | 5.4 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2023-12-31 | 2.6 M |
MercadoLibre Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Depreciation | 73.3M | 105.0M | 203.9M | 403M | 404M | 424.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 126.3M | 245.4M | 618.1M | 1.7B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 136.9M | 247.1M | 609.5M | 455M | 509M | 534.5M | |
| Net Income | (172.0M) | (707K) | 83.3M | 482M | 987M | 1.0B | |
| Change In Cash | 986.7M | 1.1B | 1.1B | (285M) | 485M | 509.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 314.2M | 935.4M | 355.5M | 2.5B | 3.9B | 4.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.5B | 2.5B | 3.6B | 3.4B | 3.8B | 4.0B | |
| Change To Inventory | (4.1M) | (107.0M) | (142.4M) | 114M | (69M) | (72.5M) | |
| Investments | (1.1B) | 346.2M | 411.3M | (3.9B) | (3.2B) | (3.0B) | |
| Change Receivables | 19.8M | (458.1M) | (1.1B) | (1.0B) | (928.8M) | (882.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 60.6M | 304.7M | 911.0M | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Change To Netincome | 58.5M | 107.5M | 558.7M | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.6B |
MercadoLibre Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MercadoLibre or Internet & Direct Marketing Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MercadoLibre's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MercadoLibre stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
MercadoLibre Volatility Alert
MercadoLibre exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.64 and kurtosis of 6.67. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MercadoLibre's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MercadoLibre's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.MercadoLibre Implied Volatility
MercadoLibre's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MercadoLibre stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MercadoLibre's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MercadoLibre stock will not fluctuate a lot when MercadoLibre's options are near their expiration.
MercadoLibre Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing MercadoLibre's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MercadoLibre's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MercadoLibre and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MercadoLibre or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MercadoLibre's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MercadoLibre by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare MercadoLibre to competition |
| Fundamentals | MercadoLibre | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.42 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0858 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 84.22 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 50.7 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.29 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 83.75 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 661.02 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 188.27 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 23.84 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.06 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 14.47 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.95 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.23 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 987 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.23 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 44.26 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.42 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 3.15 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 66.87 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.45 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.99 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 22.34 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.42 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 1921.38 | |
| Number Of Employees | 58.31 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.45 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 82.67 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 17.65 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.9 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 3 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Sale by Spence A Michael of 8000 shares of MercadoLibre [view details]
MercadoLibre Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MercadoLibre . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0375 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5479 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1648.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1654.03 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 63.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 33.84 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 34.52 |
About MercadoLibre Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell MercadoLibre? Buying financial instruments such as MercadoLibre Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 3.4B | 4.8B | 5.6B | 5.9B | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 4.0B | 5.4B | 6.4B | 6.7B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having MercadoLibre in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Climate Change Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out MercadoLibre Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in MercadoLibre Stock please use our How to Invest in MercadoLibre guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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When running MercadoLibre's price analysis, check to measure MercadoLibre's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MercadoLibre is operating at the current time. Most of MercadoLibre's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MercadoLibre's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MercadoLibre's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MercadoLibre to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MercadoLibre's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MercadoLibre. If investors know MercadoLibre will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MercadoLibre listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.711 | Earnings Share 22.34 | Revenue Per Share 310.072 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.36 | Return On Assets 0.0858 |
The market value of MercadoLibre is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MercadoLibre that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MercadoLibre's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MercadoLibre's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MercadoLibre's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MercadoLibre's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MercadoLibre's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MercadoLibre is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MercadoLibre's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.