Markel Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MKL Stock  USD 1,476  17.94  1.23%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Markel is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Markel buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Markel positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Markel's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Markel's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
1.7 K
Target Price
1.6 K
Hype Value
1.5 K
Market Value
1.5 K
Naive Value
1.5 K
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Markel given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Markel. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Markel, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Markel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Markel Stock please use our How to buy in Markel Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Markel and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Markel. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Markel Buy or Sell Advice

The Markel recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Markel. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Markel or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Markel's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MarkelBuy Markel
Strong Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Markel has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0013, Jensen Alpha of (0.03), Total Risk Alpha of (0.12) and Treynor Ratio of (0.07)
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Markel to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Markel. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Markel is not overpriced, please verify all Markel fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, net asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Markel has a number of shares shorted of 169.21 K, we recommend you to check Markel market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Markel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: 3M Beats Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Markel Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Markel's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Markel's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Markel daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Markel price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Markel returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Markel.
Mean Return
-0.0086
Value At Risk
-1.93
Potential Upside
1.94
Standard Deviation
1.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Markel historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Markel Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Markel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Markel backward and forwards among themselves. Markel's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Markel's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2023-12-31
152.2 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
150.9 K
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
141.5 K
Mackenzie Investments2023-12-31
129.5 K
Scharf Investments2023-12-31
126.9 K
Df Dent & Co Inc2023-12-31
111.9 K
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
103.4 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
100.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
90.3 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
1.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
763 K
Note, although Markel's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Markel Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash1.1B1.7B(335.7M)340.6M(889.5M)(845.0M)
Free Cash Flow1.2B1.6B2.1B2.5B2.5B2.7B
Depreciation269.2M307.1M336.4M367.0M259.9M272.9M
Other Non Cash Items33.0M97.7M144.9M1.5B(600.5M)(570.5M)
Dividends Paid9.2M9.0M18.4M36M(36M)(34.2M)
Capital Expenditures123.4M101.3M145.2M254.7M258.6M271.5M
Net Income1.8B831.8M2.4B(101.2M)2.0B2.1B
End Period Cash Flow3.5B5.2B4.9B5.2B4.3B4.5B
Change To Netincome(1.3B)(569.5M)(1.7B)980.5M882.5M926.6M
Investments353.9M1.6B224.7M1.2B(1.7B)(1.6B)
Net Borrowings514.4M(52.8M)711.8M(221.0M)(254.1M)(241.4M)
Change Receivables(104.0M)(612.3M)(2.0B)(2.1B)(1.9B)(1.8B)

Markel Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Markel or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Markel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Markel stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Markel Volatility Alert

Markel exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.9 and kurtosis of 8.93. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Markel's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Markel's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Markel Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Markel's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Markel's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Markel and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Markel or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Markel's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Markel by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Markel to competition
FundamentalsMarkelPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0349-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.24 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.37 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding13.04 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.99 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions79.82 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted169.21 K4.71 M
Price To Earning720.95 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.30 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.18 X11.42 X
Revenue15.79 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.71 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.93 B3.9 B
Net Income2 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.14 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share443.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.44 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.32 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.88 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1,096 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.79 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share147.01 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth4.14 X4.89 X
Target Price1508.33
Number Of Employees21.6 K18.84 K
Beta0.69-0.15
Market Capitalization19.01 B19.03 B
Total Asset43.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings11.35 B9.33 B
Net Asset43.44 B
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Michael Heaton of Markel at 1461.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Markel Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Markel . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Markel Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Markel? Buying financial instruments such as Markel Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total4.4B4.1B4.4B4.7B
Total Assets48.5B63.4B43.4B45.6B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Markel in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Momentum Thematic Idea Now

Momentum
Momentum Theme
Large corporations operating in software, education, financial and car manufacturing industries. The Momentum theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Momentum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Markel is a strong investment it is important to analyze Markel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Markel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Markel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Markel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Markel Stock please use our How to buy in Markel Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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Is Markel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Markel. If investors know Markel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Markel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.148
Earnings Share
147.01
Revenue Per Share
1.2 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.103
Return On Assets
0.0349
The market value of Markel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Markel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Markel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Markel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Markel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Markel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Markel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Markel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Markel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.