Riley Exploration Permian Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| REPX Stock | USD 26.40 0.39 1.46% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Riley Exploration Permian is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Riley Exploration Permian given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Riley Exploration Permian, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.Check out Riley Exploration Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Riley and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Riley Exploration Permian. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
Execute Riley Exploration Buy or Sell Advice
The Riley recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Riley Exploration Permian. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Riley Exploration Permian or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Riley Exploration's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Riley Exploration Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Riley Exploration has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Riley Exploration Permian currently holds 277.17 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Riley Exploration Permian has a current ratio of 0.48, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Riley Exploration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 63.0% of Riley Exploration shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of November 2025 Riley Exploration paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Riley Exploration Permian Shares Gap Up Heres Why |
Riley Exploration Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Riley Exploration's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Riley Exploration's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Riley Exploration daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Riley Exploration Permian price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Riley Exploration returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Riley Exploration.
| Mean Return | -0.07 | Value At Risk | -3.82 | Potential Upside | 4.58 | Standard Deviation | 2.40 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Riley Exploration historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Riley Exploration Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (1.5M) | 15.4M | 5.0M | 2.0M | (2.2M) | (2.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.7M) | 25.6M | 42.0M | 65.9M | 116.3M | 122.2M | |
| Depreciation | 769K | 108.3M | 17.7M | 65.1M | 74.9M | 78.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 759K | 653K | 731K | 1.8M | 60.4M | 63.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 109K | 60.5M | 128.3M | 141.3M | 129.9M | 136.4M | |
| Net Income | (3.6M) | (46.9M) | 118.0M | 111.6M | 88.9M | 93.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.6M | 17.1M | 13.3M | 15.3M | 13.1M | 13.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 15.3M | 19.8M | 25.1M | 27.7M | 30.8M | 32.4M | |
| Net Borrowings | 4M | (41M) | (9M) | 302M | (90M) | (85.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (24.0M) | (5.2M) | 111.5M | 8.6M | 9.9M | 16.3M | |
| Investments | (71K) | (55.7M) | (128.3M) | (469.6M) | (147.8M) | (155.2M) |
Riley Exploration Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Riley Exploration or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Riley Exploration's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Riley stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.90 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Riley Exploration Volatility Alert
Riley Exploration Permian exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.33 and kurtosis of 0.65. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Riley Exploration's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Riley Exploration's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Riley Exploration Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Riley Exploration's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Riley Exploration's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Riley Exploration and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Riley Exploration or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Riley Exploration's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Riley Exploration by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Riley Exploration to competition |
| Fundamentals | Riley Exploration | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.087 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.31 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 947.03 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 21.97 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 23.35 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 63.47 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 543.34 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.99 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.04 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.49 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 410.18 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 284.55 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 223.5 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 88.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 16.8 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.86 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 277.17 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.24 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.49 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 25.74 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 246.27 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.36 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.06 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 46.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 103 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.26 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 590.51 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 993.5 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 200.36 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (54.64 M) | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.06 % |
Note: Disposition of 400 shares by Philip Riley of Riley Exploration subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Riley Exploration Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Riley . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1960.52 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.83) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.52 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.37) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.39) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 38.84 |
About Riley Exploration Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Riley Exploration Permian? Buying financial instruments such as Riley Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Riley Stock Analysis
When running Riley Exploration's price analysis, check to measure Riley Exploration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Riley Exploration is operating at the current time. Most of Riley Exploration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Riley Exploration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Riley Exploration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Riley Exploration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.