Valhi Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VHI Stock  USD 15.12  0.03  0.20%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Valhi Inc is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Valhi buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Valhi positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Valhi's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Valhi's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
12.22
Target Price
11
Hype Value
15.3
Market Value
15.12
Naive Value
15.85
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Valhi Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Valhi. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Valhi Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Valhi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Valhi and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Valhi Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Valhi Buy or Sell Advice

The Valhi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valhi Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valhi Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valhi's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ValhiBuy Valhi
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Valhi Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0379, Jensen Alpha of 0.0029, Total Risk Alpha of (0.19), Sortino Ratio of 0.0267 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0666
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Valhi and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Valhi Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Valhi fundamentals, including its book value per share, retained earnings, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that Valhi Inc has a price to earning of 12.38 X, we advise you to double-check Valhi Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Valhi Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Valhi Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.92 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.1 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 490.4 M.
Valhi Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
On 26th of March 2024 Valhi paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: StockNews.com Initiates Coverage on Valhi - Defense World

Valhi Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Valhi's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valhi's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valhi daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valhi Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valhi returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valhi.
Mean Return
0.15
Value At Risk
-4.04
Potential Upside
6.02
Standard Deviation
3.17
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valhi historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Valhi Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Valhi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valhi Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Valhi's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Valhi's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2023-09-30
18.1 K
Howland Capital Management Inc2023-12-31
15.1 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
14.1 K
Strs Ohio2023-12-31
11.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
11.1 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
10.6 K
Martingale Asset Management L P2023-12-31
10.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
9.3 K
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
7.7 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
204.9 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
191.2 K
Note, although Valhi's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Valhi Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash60.1M(13.5M)222.6M(230.9M)(95.2M)(90.4M)
Free Cash Flow117.3M86.7M395.6M(32.7M)(44.6M)(42.4M)
Depreciation56.8M68.5M59.3M58.5M54.1M52.1M
Other Non Cash Items800K10.9M5.2M28.8M50.9M53.4M
Capital Expenditures59.9M65.5M64.1M67.6M48.5M73.4M
Net Income78.2M89M197.7M136.1M(12.1M)(11.5M)
End Period Cash Flow583.8M570.3M792.9M562M429.6M263.1M
Change To Inventory(8.5M)13.1M58.3M(204.2M)56.7M59.5M
Change To Netincome600K2.8M(13.7M)28.5M25.7M26.9M
Investments(600K)900K1.2M(70.7M)(137.2M)(130.3M)
Change Receivables7.4M(7.4M)(88.9M)90.5M104.1M109.3M
Net Borrowings3.7M(58.5M)(104.2M)(62M)(55.8M)(53.0M)

Valhi Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valhi or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valhi's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valhi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.12
σ
Overall volatility
3.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Valhi Volatility Alert

Valhi Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valhi's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valhi's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Valhi Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Valhi's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valhi's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valhi and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valhi or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valhi's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valhi by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Valhi to competition
FundamentalsValhiPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0023-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0047-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation860.17 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding28.29 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders91.54 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions3.95 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted48.77 K4.71 M
Price To Earning12.38 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.46 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.22 X11.42 X
Revenue1.92 B9.43 B
Gross Profit490.4 M27.38 B
EBITDA21.9 M3.9 B
Net Income(12.1 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents478.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share22.87 X5.01 X
Total Debt569 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.51 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.62 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share32.84 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.9 M971.22 M
Short Ratio8.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.42) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.32 X4.89 X
Target Price11.0
Number Of Employees2.77 K18.84 K
Beta1.4-0.15
Market Capitalization428.57 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.74 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings461.1 M9.33 B
Working Capital968.3 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 300000 shares by Harold Simmons Foundation Inc of Valhi at 6.3677 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Valhi Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valhi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Valhi Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Valhi Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Valhi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total672.5M580.7M569M695.1M
Total Assets3.0B2.8B2.7B2.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Valhi in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Broad Sovereign ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Broad Sovereign ETFs
Broad Sovereign ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Broad Sovereign ETFs theme has 14 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Broad Sovereign ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Valhi Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Valhi's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Valhi Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Valhi Inc Stock:
Check out Valhi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Valhi Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Valhi's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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When running Valhi's price analysis, check to measure Valhi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valhi is operating at the current time. Most of Valhi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valhi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valhi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valhi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Valhi's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valhi. If investors know Valhi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Valhi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.32)
Dividend Share
0.32
Earnings Share
(0.42)
Revenue Per Share
67.428
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.128
The market value of Valhi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valhi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valhi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valhi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valhi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valhi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valhi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valhi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valhi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.