Valhi Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
VHI Stock | USD 15.12 0.03 0.20% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Valhi Inc is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Valhi buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Valhi positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Valhi's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Valhi's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 12.22 | Target Price 11 | Hype Value 15.3 | Market Value 15.12 | Naive Value 15.85 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Valhi Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Valhi. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Valhi Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Valhi |
Execute Valhi Buy or Sell Advice
The Valhi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valhi Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valhi Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valhi's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Valhi Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Valhi Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.92 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.1 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 490.4 M. | |
Valhi Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
On 26th of March 2024 Valhi paid $ 0.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: StockNews.com Initiates Coverage on Valhi - Defense World |
Valhi Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Valhi's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valhi's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valhi daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valhi Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valhi returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valhi.
Mean Return | 0.15 | Value At Risk | -4.04 | Potential Upside | 6.02 | Standard Deviation | 3.17 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valhi historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Valhi Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Valhi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valhi Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Valhi's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Valhi's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2023-09-30 | 18.1 K | Howland Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 15.1 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 14.1 K | Strs Ohio | 2023-12-31 | 11.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 11.1 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 10.6 K | Martingale Asset Management L P | 2023-12-31 | 10.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 9.3 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 7.7 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 204.9 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 191.2 K |
Valhi Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | 60.1M | (13.5M) | 222.6M | (230.9M) | (95.2M) | (90.4M) | |
Free Cash Flow | 117.3M | 86.7M | 395.6M | (32.7M) | (44.6M) | (42.4M) | |
Depreciation | 56.8M | 68.5M | 59.3M | 58.5M | 54.1M | 52.1M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 800K | 10.9M | 5.2M | 28.8M | 50.9M | 53.4M | |
Capital Expenditures | 59.9M | 65.5M | 64.1M | 67.6M | 48.5M | 73.4M | |
Net Income | 78.2M | 89M | 197.7M | 136.1M | (12.1M) | (11.5M) | |
End Period Cash Flow | 583.8M | 570.3M | 792.9M | 562M | 429.6M | 263.1M | |
Change To Inventory | (8.5M) | 13.1M | 58.3M | (204.2M) | 56.7M | 59.5M | |
Change To Netincome | 600K | 2.8M | (13.7M) | 28.5M | 25.7M | 26.9M | |
Investments | (600K) | 900K | 1.2M | (70.7M) | (137.2M) | (130.3M) | |
Change Receivables | 7.4M | (7.4M) | (88.9M) | 90.5M | 104.1M | 109.3M | |
Net Borrowings | 3.7M | (58.5M) | (104.2M) | (62M) | (55.8M) | (53.0M) |
Valhi Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valhi or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valhi's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valhi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Valhi Volatility Alert
Valhi Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valhi's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valhi's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Valhi Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Valhi's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valhi's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valhi and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valhi or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valhi's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valhi by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Valhi to competition |
Fundamentals | Valhi | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.0023 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | -0.0047 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 860.17 M | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 28.29 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 91.54 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 3.95 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 48.77 K | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 12.38 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 0.46 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 0.22 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 1.92 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 490.4 M | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 21.9 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | (12.1 M) | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 478.5 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 22.87 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 569 M | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 0.51 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 3.62 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 32.84 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 3.9 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 8.15 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | (0.42) X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.32 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 11.0 | |
Number Of Employees | 2.77 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.4 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 428.57 M | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 2.74 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 461.1 M | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 968.3 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 300000 shares by Harold Simmons Foundation Inc of Valhi at 6.3677 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Valhi Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valhi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
Day Median Price | 15.12 | |||
Day Typical Price | 15.12 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
About Valhi Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Valhi Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Valhi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 672.5M | 580.7M | 569M | 695.1M | Total Assets | 3.0B | 2.8B | 2.7B | 2.7B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Valhi in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Valhi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Valhi Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Valhi's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Valhi Stock analysis
When running Valhi's price analysis, check to measure Valhi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valhi is operating at the current time. Most of Valhi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valhi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valhi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valhi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Valhi's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valhi. If investors know Valhi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Valhi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share (0.42) | Revenue Per Share 67.428 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.128 |
The market value of Valhi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valhi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valhi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valhi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Valhi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valhi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valhi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valhi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Valhi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.