Xpeng Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| XPEV Stock | USD 8.10 0.26 3.32% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Xpeng Inc is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Xpeng buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Xpeng positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Xpeng's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Xpeng's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 10.46 | Target Price 18.88 | Hype Value 8.11 | Market Value 8.1 | Naive Value 8.35 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Xpeng Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Xpeng. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Xpeng Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Xpeng |
Execute Xpeng Buy or Sell Advice
The Xpeng recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Xpeng Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Xpeng Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Xpeng's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Xpeng Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Xpeng Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Xpeng Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 30.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.38 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.12 B. | |
| Xpeng Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Xpeng announces Mona a sub-brand of lower priced electric vehicles |
Xpeng Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Xpeng's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Xpeng's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Xpeng daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Xpeng Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Xpeng returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Xpeng.
| Mean Return | -0.15 | Value At Risk | -7.79 | Potential Upside | 8.02 | Standard Deviation | 4.39 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Xpeng historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Xpeng Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Xpeng is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Xpeng Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Xpeng's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Xpeng's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Matrix China Management Iv, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 3.5 M | Primavera Capital Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 3.3 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 2.9 M | Bank Of Montreal | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M | Bmo Capital Markets Corp. | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M | Sam Sustainable Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Electron Capital Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Citigroup Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 15.6 M | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 13 M |
Xpeng Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (394.3M) | (981.5M) | (1.9B) | (2.5B) | (2.4B) | (2.2B) | |
| Investments | 2.7B | (3.3B) | (25.8B) | 4.8B | 631.2M | 662.7M | |
| Change In Cash | 776.2M | 29.1B | (19.9B) | 3.1B | 9.6B | 10.1B | |
| Net Borrowings | 871.9M | (352.1M) | (142.8M) | 6.0B | 6.9B | 7.3B | |
| Free Cash Flow | (5.5B) | (1.5B) | (5.4B) | (12.9B) | (1.4B) | (1.4B) | |
| Depreciation | 226.7M | 437.9M | 837.8M | 1.4B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (66.8M) | (65.7M) | (351.9M) | 1.5B | (352.2M) | (334.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.9B | 1.4B | 4.3B | 4.7B | 2.3B | 2.9B | |
| Net Income | (3.7B) | (2.7B) | (4.9B) | (9.1B) | (10.4B) | (9.9B) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.4B | 31.5B | 11.6B | 14.7B | 24.3B | 15.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | 92.2M | (340.4M) | (653.1M) | 2.2B | 2.5B | 2.7B |
Xpeng Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Xpeng or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Xpeng's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Xpeng stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Xpeng Volatility Alert
Xpeng Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.36 and kurtosis of 0.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Xpeng's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Xpeng's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Xpeng Implied Volatility
Xpeng's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Xpeng Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Xpeng's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Xpeng stock will not fluctuate a lot when Xpeng's options are near their expiration.
Xpeng Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Xpeng's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Xpeng's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Xpeng and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Xpeng or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Xpeng's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Xpeng by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Xpeng to competition |
| Fundamentals | Xpeng | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.28 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.087 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.34) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.15) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (8.67 B) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 943.38 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 15.25 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 50.21 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 1.40 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.24 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 30.68 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.12 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (7.51 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (10.38 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 32.31 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 37.83 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 15.39 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.19 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.97 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 38.56 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 956.16 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.88 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.64) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 5.54 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 14.23 | |
| Number Of Employees | 13.55 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.92 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.4 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 84.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (35.76 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 18.41 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 84.16 B |
Xpeng Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Xpeng . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Xpeng Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Xpeng Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Xpeng Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 3.2B | 11.1B | 15.4B | 16.2B | Total Assets | 65.7B | 71.5B | 84.2B | 51.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Xpeng in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Hybrid Mix Funds Thematic Idea Now
Hybrid Mix Funds
Funds or Etfs that are made of portfolios of stocks, bonds, or cash instruments with different maturity horizons and characteristics. The Hybrid Mix Funds theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hybrid Mix Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Xpeng Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Xpeng Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Xpeng's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Complementary Tools for Xpeng Stock analysis
When running Xpeng's price analysis, check to measure Xpeng's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xpeng is operating at the current time. Most of Xpeng's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xpeng's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xpeng's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xpeng to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Xpeng's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xpeng. If investors know Xpeng will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xpeng listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | Earnings Share (1.64) | Revenue Per Share 35.241 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.539 | Return On Assets (0.09) |
The market value of Xpeng Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xpeng that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xpeng's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xpeng's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xpeng's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xpeng's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xpeng's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xpeng is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xpeng's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.