Box Inc Stock Price Patterns
| BOX Stock | USD 25.49 0.98 3.70% |
Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Box hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Box Inc from the perspective of Box response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Box to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Box because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Box after-hype prediction price | USD 25.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Box Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Box After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Box at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Box or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Box, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Box Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Box's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Box's historical news coverage. Box's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.51 and 27.47, respectively. We have considered Box's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Box is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Box Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Box Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Box is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Box backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Box, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.98 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.49 | 25.49 | 0.00 |
|
Box Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Box Inc is traded for 25.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.12. Box is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Box is about 585.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.61. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the November 19, 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Box Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Box Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Box's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Box's future price movements. Getting to know how Box's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Box may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QLYS | Qualys Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.73 | 0.03 | 2.52 | (2.86) | 25.56 | |
| ACIW | ACI Worldwide | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.08 | (3.12) | 9.43 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.05 | 3.31 | (2.42) | 8.14 | |
| DLO | Dlocal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.11 | (3.91) | 11.21 | |
| STNE | StoneCo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.06 | (6.88) | 15.52 | |
| CLSK | CleanSpark | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.27 | (8.72) | 33.02 | |
| DOCN | DigitalOcean Holdings | 3.38 | 10 per month | 2.64 | 0.14 | 7.04 | (5.17) | 24.58 | |
| BDC | Belden Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.11 | (3.32) | 10.85 | |
| OS | OneStream Class A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.41 | 0.08 | 5.27 | (4.43) | 29.57 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.36 | (3.74) | 11.66 |
Box Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Box price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Box using various technical indicators. When you analyze Box charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Box Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Box stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Box Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Box based on analysis of Box hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Box's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Box's related companies.
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Additional Tools for Box Stock Analysis
When running Box's price analysis, check to measure Box's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Box is operating at the current time. Most of Box's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Box's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Box's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Box to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.