Pattern Group Series Stock Price Prediction

PTRN Stock   14.99  1.01  6.31%   
As of today the value of relative strength index of Pattern Group's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pattern Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pattern Group Series, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pattern Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pattern Group Series from the perspective of Pattern Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pattern Group using Pattern Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pattern using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pattern Group's stock price.

Pattern Group Short Interest

An investor who is long Pattern Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pattern Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pattern Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.

Pattern Group Series Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pattern Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pattern. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pattern can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pattern Group Series. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pattern Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pattern Group.

Pattern Group Implied Volatility

    
  1.81  
Pattern Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pattern Group Series stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pattern Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pattern Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pattern Group's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pattern Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pattern because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Pattern Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Pattern contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Pattern Group Series will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2025-12-19 option contract. With Pattern Group trading at USD 14.99, that is roughly USD 0.017 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Pattern Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Pattern Group Series options at the current volatility level of 1.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Pattern Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.8112.8517.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.3313.3718.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2616.3818.50
Details

Pattern Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pattern Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pattern Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pattern Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pattern Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pattern Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pattern Group's historical news coverage. Pattern Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.94 and 20.02, respectively. We have considered Pattern Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.99
14.98
After-hype Price
20.02
Upside
Pattern Group is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pattern Group Series is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pattern Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pattern Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pattern Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pattern Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
5.04
  0.01 
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.99
14.98
0.07 
1,800  
Notes

Pattern Group Hype Timeline

Pattern Group Series is at this time traded for 14.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Pattern is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Pattern Group is about 3360.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.99. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Pattern Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Pattern Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pattern Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pattern Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Pattern Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pattern Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ASANAsana Inc 0.03 11 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.88 (5.28) 17.23 
KCKingsoft Cloud Holdings 0.13 10 per month 0.00 (0.02) 6.73 (4.83) 25.46 
BLKBBlackbaud(1.75)9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.13 (2.99) 11.64 
AGYSAgilysys 0.13 25 per month 2.13  0.07  3.41 (4.13) 28.01 
BLBlackline 1.35 8 per month 2.24  0.01  3.28 (3.79) 10.66 
GBTGGlobal Business Travel(0.14)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.13 (3.57) 11.27 
DAVEDave Inc 0.25 18 per month 3.78  0.01  6.83 (5.61) 21.74 
FRSHFreshworks 0.14 9 per month 0.00 (0.10) 3.13 (2.87) 10.61 
BRZEBraze Inc(0.72)9 per month 3.14  0.03  4.10 (4.63) 25.33 
WRDWeRide American Depositary(0.92)11 per month 0.00 (0.07) 6.00 (6.66) 27.07 

Pattern Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pattern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pattern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pattern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Pattern Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Pattern Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pattern Group Series, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pattern Group based on analysis of Pattern Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pattern Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pattern Group's related companies.
 2010 2024 2025 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding20.3321.7316.82
PTB Ratio8.547.058.58

Story Coverage note for Pattern Group

The number of cover stories for Pattern Group depends on current market conditions and Pattern Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pattern Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pattern Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Pattern Group Short Properties

Pattern Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pattern Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pattern Group Series often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pattern Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pattern Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding171.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments175.6 M
When determining whether Pattern Group Series offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Pattern Group's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pattern Group Series Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pattern Group Series Stock:
Check out Pattern Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Software - Application space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pattern Group. If investors know Pattern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pattern Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Pattern Group Series is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pattern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pattern Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pattern Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pattern Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pattern Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pattern Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pattern Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pattern Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.